Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna win on 2025-09-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aa6cd10727b78ca6895a4c64fb42b869cfed1bd77706bd480c4fb5a731fa531
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,559,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,639,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,559,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 45c | 957,740$435,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522,537.94 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 53c | 372,181$196,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196,866.32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 55c | 178,820$97,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,678.04 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 54c | 175,487$95,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,586.79 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 88,481$49,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,512.83 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 57c | 74,117$42,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,105.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 56c | 72,040$40,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,179.4 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 52c | 45,000$23,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,393.95 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yes | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 50c | 39,225$19,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,612.38 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,200 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 49c | 20,000$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,300 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 44c | 10,500$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 43c | 8,592$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.18 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 47c | 8,403$3,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,470.94 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 47c | 7,607$3,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015.26 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 46c | 7,457$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030.46 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed Yes | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 53c | 6,666$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,532.98 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 47c | 3,890$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.56 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 57c | 3,200$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 47c | 2,892$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.18 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 54c | 2,813$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.88 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 55c | 2,813$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.67 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 49c | 2,742$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.24 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 57c | 2,550$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…95b9backed Yes | 33c | 2,142$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.32 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 2,090$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.64 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 48c | 2,076$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.66 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 49c | 1,616$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.59 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 47c | 1,551$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.37 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 53c | 1,252$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 47c | 1,117$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.01 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 53c | 717$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.24 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 48c | 660$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.8 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 48c | 579$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1,085.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 48c | 560.42$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes | 57c | 550$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 48c | 368$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.2 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 73c | 348.15$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.15 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 57c | 289.23$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…962dbacked No | 55c | 183.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes | 31c | 165.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 49c | 158.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 48c | 150$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed No | 69c | 140.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed No | 49c | 121.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 48c | 119.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 61c | 109.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 125 | 65.6%82 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked No | 50c | 100.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…2882backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 52c | 99.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 49c | 87.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 39c | 70.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes | 75c | 61.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed No | 54c | 54.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 57c | 54.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 50c | 49.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e1…6f6dbacked Yes | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 58c | 32.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 50c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Yes | 46c | 30.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…aa05backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…03dbbacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna win on 2025-09-28?this page
- Will Lecce vs. Bologna end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Lecce win on 2025-09-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.