NBA · resolved market
Will Luca Doncic lead the NBA in scoring?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x290945bd27805e9af46e1ff398a0a6f04fc8753316938e17dfe77c33c0592e01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,249,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $548,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,249,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 0c | 102,648$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.94 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 79,520$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.04 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…6d16backed Yes | 0c | 27,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b2…5fcdbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbf…6bfcbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5c…74babacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…a58abacked Yes | 0c | 16,585$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…9cfabacked Yes | 0c | 12,950$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 4c | 12,489$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.26 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…194dbacked Yes | 1c | 12,373$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa973…f1fbbacked Yes | 0c | 11,670$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 1c | 11,277$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.61 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7924…7158backed Yes | 0c | 11,090$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,390$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 8c | 7,277$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.61 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…d500backed Yes | 0c | 6,665$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…e36ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa164…4686backed Yes | 0c | 5,166$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…17c1backed Yes | 0c | 5,091$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -80%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec4…a446backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…4032backed Yes | 0c | 4,618$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 2c | 3,325$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 58 | 6.9%4 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218a…4061backed Yes | 1c | 2,902$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e7…390abacked Yes | 1c | 2,370$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b23backed Yes | 1c | 2,366$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dce…db81backed Yes | 1c | 2,160$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…3d8ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,160$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15d…7344backed Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1416…ba08backed Yes | 1c | 1,966$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…8f4bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,960$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ceacbacked Yes | 3c | 1,937$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7151…1a33backed Yes | 1c | 1,764$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…9514backed Yes | 1c | 1,388$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…9194backed Yes | 1c | 1,348$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…25dabacked Yes | 1c | 1,288$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…1d42backed Yes | 1c | 1,288$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 2c | 1,264$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb9…20f7backed Yes | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8109…808cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,218$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…8dfdbacked Yes | 34c | 1,163$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…a405backed Yes | 1c | 1,108$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…7496backed No | 63c | 1,100$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…846cbacked Yes | 1c | 952$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Yes | 5c | 920.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafad…a718backed Yes | 1c | 912$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…f516backed No | 63c | 900$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…66bdbacked Yes | 1c | 872$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…ad54backed Yes | 1c | 872$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…e500backed Yes | 1c | 872$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4769…21a2backed Yes | 2c | 802$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb8…0d48backed Yes | 1c | 802$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 5c | 787.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 2c | 777$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b38…ebb4backed Yes | 1c | 762$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17c…dad7backed Yes | 42c | 718.72$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e9…69b0backed Yes | 2c | 714$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…9549backed Yes | 1c | 712$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 687.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…3a56backed No | 64c | 650$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…b291backed No | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…4278backed Yes | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…e322backed Yes | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…eb25backed Yes | 9c | 573.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…83e0backed Yes | 2c | 506.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd085…ba5cbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 2c | 499.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d0…aa80backed Yes | 4c | 408$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d61…f551backed Yes | 4c | 408$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe147…0b98backed No | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Yes | 13c | 390$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 31c | 355.38$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad24…6f1ebacked Yes | 3c | 306$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…73e1backed Yes | 4c | 306$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff2…ade7backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f66…36d3backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…3039backed Yes | 37c | 267.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 23c | 224.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…6314backed No | 58c | 210$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848b…ab76backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163b…fddfbacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked No | 69c | 199.86$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked No | 66c | 144.83$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7722…ee4bbacked Yes | 17c | 119.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…0de1backed Yes | 37c | 112.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 65c | 88.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2447…a9a7backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…0410backed Yes | 33c | 73.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…60dfbacked Yes | 33c | 66.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e56…d01ebacked No | 75c | 55.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2038…2a11backed Yes | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…291dbacked No | 75c | 52.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd295…7025backed Yes | 31c | 48.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.48per pick | 62cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb910…8624backed Yes | 36c | 45.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250a…6d1dbacked No | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…e413backed Yes | 39c | 44.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cce…44b9backed Yes | 33c | 44.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Luca Doncic lead the NBA in scoring?this page
- Will Damian Lillard lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Anfernee Simons lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Anthony Davis lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Cam Thomas lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will DeMar DeRozan lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Devin Booker lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will De’Aaron Fox lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Ja Morant lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Jaylen Brown lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Jayson Tatum lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Joel Embiid lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Julius Randle lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Kawhi Leonard lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Kevin Durant lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Kyrie Irving lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Lauri Markkanen lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will LeBron James lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Paolo Banchero lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Paul George lead the NBA in Scoring?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?Yes won
- Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Trae Young lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Zach LaVine lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Zion Williamson lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will another player lead the NBA in scoring?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.