NBA · resolved market
Will Paul George lead the NBA in Scoring?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaca183c14ce24a6d6d016a9b4cf5103a22ea7b8f8cb7cff1834e3225c720404
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,427,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $864,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,427,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f2…ff4ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,101,013$8,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,404.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd646…878ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,072,232$8,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,288.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…e384backed Yes | 0c | 1,465,587$5,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,862.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…f9bbbacked Yes | 0c | 1,436,850$5,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,747.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c8…8d1dbacked Yes | 0c | 461,442$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…9764backed Yes | 0c | 461,441$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 206,527$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.07 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 0c | 91,303$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.91 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 27,378$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…dc84backed Yes | 0c | 24,999$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…b87dbacked Yes | 1c | 19,650$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1035…93c3backed Yes | 1c | 19,650$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d0…3521backed Yes | 1c | 19,650$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1e…af82backed Yes | 1c | 19,650$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb7…fe6cbacked Yes | 1c | 19,650$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45de…c864backed Yes | 1c | 19,650$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace1…3405backed Yes | 1c | 19,644$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…8ab5backed Yes | 1c | 19,644$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…79b9backed Yes | 1c | 19,643$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0df…5344backed Yes | 1c | 19,354$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc13…c044backed Yes | 1c | 19,354$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…7360backed Yes | 1c | 19,354$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b48…5dc9backed Yes | 1c | 19,354$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c0…8964backed Yes | 1c | 19,354$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…4fe3backed Yes | 1c | 19,354$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…43cebacked Yes | 1c | 19,348$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…9f9ebacked Yes | 1c | 19,348$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…dfc7backed Yes | 1c | 17,687$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2847…8f14backed Yes | 1c | 17,687$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…6d0fbacked Yes | 1c | 17,681$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef3…6fe2backed Yes | 1c | 17,392$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2443…7327backed Yes | 1c | 17,391$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8b…98b0backed Yes | 1c | 17,386$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…0e02backed Yes | 1c | 17,386$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c4…b238backed Yes | 1c | 15,423$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…4032backed Yes | 0c | 9,173$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe127…838cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,682$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1857…c0cebacked Yes | 0c | 6,524$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…c3c5backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3065…1c02backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814f…df12backed Yes | 0c | 4,263$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 3,904$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde4…672cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,881$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…4569backed Yes | 0c | 2,750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…75fabacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paul George lead the NBA in Scoring?this page
- Will Damian Lillard lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Anfernee Simons lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Anthony Davis lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Cam Thomas lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will DeMar DeRozan lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Devin Booker lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will De’Aaron Fox lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Ja Morant lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Jaylen Brown lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Jayson Tatum lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Joel Embiid lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Julius Randle lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Kawhi Leonard lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Kevin Durant lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Kyrie Irving lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Lauri Markkanen lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will LeBron James lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Luca Doncic lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Paolo Banchero lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?Yes won
- Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Trae Young lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Zach LaVine lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Zion Williamson lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will another player lead the NBA in scoring?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.