NBA · resolved market
Will Julius Randle lead the NBA in scoring?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79e42aa28c3d7c2066e474f42790f7dc345f38a6b137be792ded7e39b5e8af9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,219,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $523,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,219,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 154,359$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.72 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 0c | 69,478$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.43 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…e36ebacked Yes | 0c | 42,099$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,234$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…4032backed Yes | 0c | 15,184$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 0c | 14,804$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…e20bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,784$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56f…8c5fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,647$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d2…51c1backed Yes | 0c | 11,553$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…d4d0backed Yes | 0c | 11,553$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab1…1c82backed Yes | 0c | 10,787$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…6e51backed Yes | 0c | 8,838$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…aa57backed Yes | 0c | 8,838$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ff…c04fbacked Yes | 0c | 8,838$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…4c31backed Yes | 0c | 8,838$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…d8c9backed Yes | 0c | 8,838$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…6fd7backed Yes | 0c | 8,607$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2796…9f98backed Yes | 0c | 8,607$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8df…f407backed Yes | 0c | 8,607$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…2feabacked Yes | 0c | 7,841$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…b800backed Yes | 0c | 7,610$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1404…1529backed Yes | 0c | 7,610$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 6,941$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…6a00backed Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b55…a894backed Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x171b…d171backed Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c84…9fc2backed Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…a9e3backed Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x618b…9a91backed Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399a…f344backed Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…321bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…8115backed Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0990…555fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32da…3082backed Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de5…048dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d94…3e76backed Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f70…df7bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…7d4dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…d8debacked Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d1…d403backed Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…e2c9backed Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b77…7678backed Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…6573backed Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3533…5cc8backed Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…9688backed Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…c639backed Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c8…7813backed Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…6de8backed Yes | 0c | 5,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9540backed Yes | 0c | 5,661$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…36efbacked Yes | 0c | 5,661$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215f…0b1abacked Yes | 0c | 5,661$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea1…10e9backed Yes | 0c | 4,987$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa594…3af0backed Yes | 0c | 4,895$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…40fabacked Yes | 0c | 4,895$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Julius Randle lead the NBA in scoring?this page
- Will Damian Lillard lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Anfernee Simons lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Anthony Davis lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Cam Thomas lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will DeMar DeRozan lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Devin Booker lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will De’Aaron Fox lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Ja Morant lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Jaylen Brown lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Jayson Tatum lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Joel Embiid lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Kawhi Leonard lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Kevin Durant lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Kyrie Irving lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Lauri Markkanen lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will LeBron James lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Luca Doncic lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Paolo Banchero lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Paul George lead the NBA in Scoring?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?Yes won
- Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Trae Young lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Zach LaVine lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will Zion Williamson lead the NBA in scoring?No won
- Will another player lead the NBA in scoring?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.