TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Will LeBron James lead the NBA in scoring?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,395,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,280,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,395,736 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c153,009$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.561978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes0c58,958$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.365313.2%7 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-68.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c46,474$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.42994%4 W · 95 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e7f…3f43backed Yes1c16,343$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d89…2b40backed Yes1c14,048$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c11,389$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.522130.5%1 W · 212 L+0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015219.1%29 W · 123 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfb4…f860backed Yes0c7,185$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6589…9f0bbacked Yes0c5,484$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f60…cf78backed Yes0c5,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef77…1bdbbacked Yes0c4,928$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11a5…4032backed Yes0c3,785$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.45442.3%1 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-95.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c3,527$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.411337.2%42 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8302…76d3backed Yes1c3,496$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8622…b21dbacked Yes1c3,333$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c1…37cfbacked Yes1c2,736$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcce7…1292backed Yes1c2,736$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x831d…fcbbbacked Yes0c2,727$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424f…7fccbacked Yes1c2,584$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6094…73a2backed Yes0c2,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698d…26cfbacked Yes1c2,280$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9794…3086backed Yes1c2,128$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x745e…69e4backed Yes1c1,976$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4407…d69ebacked Yes1c1,976$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6970…3148backed Yes1c1,976$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaffc…27f9backed Yes1c1,976$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b9…a0d2backed Yes1c1,976$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3227…3a8bbacked Yes1c1,976$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d4…263bbacked Yes1c1,976$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe97…3dbfbacked Yes1c1,976$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0949…51fdbacked Yes1c1,976$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9bf…9c13backed Yes1c1,824$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e6c…21b6backed Yes1c1,824$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9032…001abacked Yes1c1,824$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3832…bb47backed Yes1c1,824$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc035…7640backed Yes1c1,824$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1564…e76abacked Yes1c1,824$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb26…c6d7backed Yes1c1,672$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8cf…0477backed Yes1c1,672$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc304…e2b8backed Yes1c1,672$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa62b…c8adbacked Yes1c1,672$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa894…6a52backed Yes1c1,672$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d09…684bbacked Yes1c1,672$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x013f…06bbbacked Yes1c1,672$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb5…b93fbacked Yes1c1,672$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x812d…156dbacked Yes1c1,672$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef0a…27e1backed Yes1c1,672$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc00c…cd15backed Yes1c1,672$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe67…db13backed Yes1c1,672$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…0510backed Yes1c1,672$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c0…4c75backed Yes1c1,672$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8636…6994backed Yes1c1,672$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ce…e163backed Yes1c1,672$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d18…6f6bbacked Yes1c1,672$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d2…940bbacked Yes1c1,672$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc207…9aa8backed Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a24…2277backed Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2af…64e1backed Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4561…6870backed Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ce…12dabacked Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…aad7backed Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6236…41bebacked Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x074c…a72fbacked Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b12…3196backed Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f2…4c38backed Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd02…3b17backed Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x152e…ad8ebacked Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18db…f0d1backed Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ac…84d3backed Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8891…0ea1backed Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3852…fbb7backed Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e22…4965backed Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1da5…9423backed Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f1…ecddbacked Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…2641backed Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7808…46ccbacked Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bef…a0b9backed Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf214…468dbacked Yes1c1,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes1c1,301$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.018219.5%16 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.