TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in scoring?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,584,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,075,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,584,154 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 693 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9b04…36c4backed Yes16c59,000$9,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,44010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ac…60b4backed Yes10c55,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c33,649$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.241550%0 W · 155 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c24,153$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.311978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes0c22,651$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0125836.8%95 W · 163 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b4c…e22fbacked Yes1c14,225$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c13,033$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.452130.5%1 W · 212 L+0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…c036backed Yes0c10,700$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7730%0 W · 73 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x867d…3f3bbacked Yes8c10,323$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015219.1%29 W · 123 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes25c8,574$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.09586.9%4 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d7c…5beabacked Yes0c7,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-68.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes23c6,917$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.86113.1%8 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a5…4032backed Yes0c6,823$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.65442.3%1 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-95.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf281…b23ebacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x111f…af00backed Yes13c4,922$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.912128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaef2…fc44backed Yes3c4,644$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8466…a98fbacked Yes0c3,500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes18c3,364$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.637149.3%35 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes11c2,861$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.761,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24d…96a1backed Yes0c2,750$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes3c2,554$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.78646.3%4 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e4…517abacked Yes5c1,899$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100238.7%2 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-77.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes1c1,842$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.76113.1%8 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes32c1,796$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cf0…fd3abacked Yes7c1,788$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.665127.5%14 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes9c1,501$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.85539.4%5 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick12cpaid+11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes5c1,471$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3177437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Yes11c1,394$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6330443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes10c1,366$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.061,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fef…cdcbbacked Yes10c1,171$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1797…c001backed No78c1,159$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.14650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes6c1,122$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.525230.8%16 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7260…4466backed No76c1,057$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.87742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes6c999$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9493041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87aa…dbb6backed Yes21c979.59$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5250%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ce3…907abacked Yes19c936.12$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed Yes23c935.31$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.773036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9950…f373backed Yes9c892$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.71714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-81%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4d…1958backed Yes21c864$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7570%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70f4…1756backed Yes24c833.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3827…abc9backed Yes12c826$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3140%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6d…c464backed No77c808.66$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.49475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+89.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa428…d386backed Yes11c799$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5140%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes5c774$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.35397.7%3 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2890…b4c8backed Yes19c769.67$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3950%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd812…646cbacked Yes3c759.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Yes26c733.95$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3310837%40 W · 68 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8e…5dd9backed Yes4c731.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301040%4 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7ba…d8d0backed Yes23c663.18$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4570%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08e4…f086backed Yes13c586$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8950%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcca3…ed2abacked Yes17c586$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3470%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b3…d279backed Yes20c576$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3460%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2447…a9a7backed Yes13c562.46$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.95540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7030…4f04backed Yes11c562$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778c…3b13backed Yes17c556$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.09540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20fe…4f9fbacked Yes15c538$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca95…5f6dbacked No80c524.41$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf943…a83abacked No68c499.99$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.51250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x560e…cc15backed No76c496$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.06650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfcf…dfe1backed Yes22c485.51$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2450%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2c…ef10backed Yes12c480$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8240%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5832…3184backed Yes22c453.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1270%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8148…dca0backed Yes16c452$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e7…390abacked Yes10c446$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.05100%0 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80a0…9e23backed Yes8c446$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.23616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-78.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe710…397bbacked Yes10c446$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8270%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22fc…1fa7backed Yes12c442$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb7…9daebacked Yes9c441.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71f7…0fb5backed Yes11c439.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc983…014abacked Yes24c432$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.53812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-60.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ac…349ebacked Yes20c432$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec4…5ad2backed Yes25c432$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.28714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-80.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67db…90e3backed Yes19c432$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.66714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd7d…699cbacked Yes18c422$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+114.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2152…2a3cbacked Yes13c418$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…22fabacked Yes14c415$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5750%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x372a…22d9backed Yes19c411$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2996…0923backed No78c408.82$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.59650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…c06ebacked Yes20c403.59$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.06911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-50.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e88…5536backed Yes17c402$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+187.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7362…c89cbacked Yes18c402$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.63540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c79…6e12backed Yes17c402$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.87616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4c…aca0backed Yes8c401$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f99…9b59backed Yes34c400$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.31333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0575…15d6backed Yes30c392.24$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0b4…4d89backed Yes32c383.1$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd1…f909backed Yes29c378.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3150%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1240…9c9bbacked No77c372$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.18540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes31c364$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.91771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1c5…4b33backed No78c352$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.82650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes21c347.86$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.558324.1%20 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f74…d4adbacked Yes26c346.94$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Yes6c342.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034747%163 W · 184 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773c…5316backed Yes10c339$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e70…9457backed Yes19c339$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d9…c835backed Yes24c338.2$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0560%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x195f…494dbacked Yes13c337.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.57812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b5…6f06backed Yes7c336.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252030%6 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0051…5016backed Yes15c315$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.