TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc17c…dad7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst F1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT4440.9%18 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$138.97
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.77
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Halys (+2.5)backed Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$170
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
Set Handicap: Li (-1.5) vs Parry (+1.5)backed Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+283.1%+$141.57
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Roland Garros WTA: Kimberly Birrell vs Jessica Pegulabacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+395.7%+$296.8
Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+278.8%+$139.39
Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)backed Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$163.44
Roland Garros ATP: Thomas Faurel vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros WTA: Alycia Parks vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullinbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+179%+$205.83
Roland Garros ATP: Emilio Nava vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Belluccibacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Roland Garros WTA: Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Wangbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$295.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$403
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.