Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8f47e8d5fd13cc178155ef4c176108a098c291f6141c4c4e9883f92a8644269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefanos Tsitsipasof Alexandre Muller, Stefanos Tsitsipas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Alexandre Muller | 1c | 16,460$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.15 | 78 | 11.5%9 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alexandre Muller | 8c | 12,028$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.74 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefa…d902backed Alexandre Muller | 0c | 10,801$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Alexandre Muller | 29c | 4,864$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Alexandre Muller | 15c | 3,014$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.98 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Alexandre Muller | 1c | 2,551$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Alexandre Muller | 14c | 2,532$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.12 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Alexandre Muller | 15c | 2,220$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.05 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Alexandre Muller | 16c | 2,038$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.63 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Alexandre Muller | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Alexandre Muller | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Alexandre Muller | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alexandre Muller | 13c | 1,130$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.45 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…6e6fbacked Alexandre Muller | 22c | 1,130$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 74c | 1,030$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.25 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 78c | 1,017$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.74 | 226 | 67.7%153 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Alexandre Muller | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Alexandre Muller | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…7013backed Alexandre Muller | 20c | 891.01$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 79c | 864.74$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.75 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Alexandre Muller | 18c | 852.79$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.78 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexandre Muller | 17c | 642.65$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.14 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Alexandre Muller | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Alexandre Muller | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…0890backed Alexandre Muller | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Alexandre Muller | 21c | 468.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 209 | 38.3%80 W · 129 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Alexandre Muller | 20c | 408.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Alexandre Muller | 15c | 404$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Alexandre Muller | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Alexandre Muller | 12c | 390.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Alexandre Muller | 17c | 315.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…a0fdbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d814backed Alexandre Muller | 21c | 287.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 405 | 54.1%219 W · 186 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd492…7469backed Alexandre Muller | 26c | 277.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Alexandre Muller | 15c | 271.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alexandre Muller | 19c | 253.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17c…dad7backed Alexandre Muller | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Alexandre Muller | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Alexandre Muller | 16c | 196.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Alexandre Muller | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Alexandre Muller | 21c | 181.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 79c | 167.96$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Alexandre Muller | 22c | 163$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc9…ec4bbacked Alexandre Muller | 8c | 142.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alexandre Muller | 16c | 132.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Alexandre Muller | 15c | 130.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…adb8backed Alexandre Muller | 17c | 129.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 79c | 125.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Alexandre Muller | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…e910backed Alexandre Muller | 27c | 111.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6207…2356backed Alexandre Muller | 17c | 92.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Alexandre Muller | 19c | 78.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Alexandre Muller | 15c | 73.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…93b2backed Alexandre Muller | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Alexandre Muller | 15c | 68.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Alexandre Muller | 16c | 68.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a02…7875backed Alexandre Muller | 18c | 65.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Alexandre Muller | 16c | 62.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…c952backed Alexandre Muller | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999b…bc86backed Alexandre Muller | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Alexandre Muller | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 79c | 30.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…fdebbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas | 80c | 15.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Stefanos Tsitsipas | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Stefanos Tsitsipasthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Muller vs TsitsipasTsitsipas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.