TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe06c…adb8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: UFC, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category UFC at 49 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT4736.2%17 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Little Rock: Michael Mmoh vs Bernard Tomicbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverevbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$55.25
Vicenza: Lukas Neumayer vs Remy Bertolabacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Centurion: Orel Kimhi vs Giles Husseybacked Orel Kimhi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$54.74
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Roland Garros ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wubacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$21.43
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$23.28
Roland Garros ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$45.81
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$23
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+305.2%+$42.73
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Baez vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$74.2
Roland Garros ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.