Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Aleksandar Vukic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32c88f6c085b08eb2335778b631557f3da09f1ee352238918c177a6fef6da12d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raphael Collignonof Raphael Collignon, Aleksandar Vukic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9367…f6bebacked Aleksandar Vukic | 11c | 25,296$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.18 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Aleksandar Vukic | 4c | 11,402$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.54 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Aleksandar Vukic | 5c | 6,798$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.2 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Aleksandar Vukic | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 790 | 40.6%321 W · 469 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 4,883$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.44 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 2c | 4,639$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 78 | 11.5%9 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 4,306$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.43 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Aleksandar Vukic | 6c | 4,218$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 246 | 31.3%77 W · 169 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aleksandar Vukic | 2c | 3,968$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Aleksandar Vukic | 7c | 2,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Aleksandar Vukic | 7c | 2,364$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.65 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 2,213$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9173…a6a6backed Aleksandar Vukic | 2c | 1,904$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 1,900$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Aleksandar Vukic | 7c | 1,672$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.69 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Aleksandar Vukic | 3c | 1,527$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Aleksandar Vukic | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 22.4%24 W · 83 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 1,332$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…2b18backed Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 1,085$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 6c | 990$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 2c | 945.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 759 | 12.1%92 W · 667 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Aleksandar Vukic | 2c | 910.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 859.37$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…adb8backed Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 766.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Aleksandar Vukic | 5c | 736.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 634.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fc…5054backed Aleksandar Vukic | 5c | 563.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 398.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 369$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 4c | 365.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Aleksandar Vukic | 5c | 359.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Aleksandar Vukic | 6c | 292.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Aleksandar Vukic | 6c | 256.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 6c | 234.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…abe1backed Aleksandar Vukic | 7c | 200.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6877…6f07backed Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 134.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 115$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1,269 | 44.8%568 W · 701 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a311backed Aleksandar Vukic | 11c | 103.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…2cacbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Aleksandar Vukic | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Aleksandar Vukicthis page
- Set Handicap: Collignon (-1.5) vs Vukic (+1.5)Collignon won
- Set Handicap: Collignon (-2.5) vs Vukic (+2.5)Collignon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.