TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$422,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$463,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,966 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 775 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Bucks63c27,441$17,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,277.6347848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hawks42c20,943$8,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,175.666853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Bucks44c20,000$8,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,768.2380146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks15c19,927$3,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,060.793,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Hawks66c16,301$10,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,549.0829738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bucks46c14,602$6,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,684.0349849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Bucks53c9,613$5,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,077.243636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Hawks67c9,358$6,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,067.9828347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Hawks59c7,978$4,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,282.848046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks50c7,695$3,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,837.471,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16aa…cde5backed Hawks38c7,658$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,747.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Bucks1c7,188$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014040%56 W · 84 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks39c6,928$2,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,234.471,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Bucks45c6,900$3,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1133961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Bucks63c6,337$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0006873.5%50 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32c5…ebfbbacked Hawks38c6,215$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,853.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+97.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Bucks45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70029747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab91…f666backed Bucks62c5,856$3,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,630.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Hawks55c5,673$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.7319350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Bucks1c5,393$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.668783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Hawks51c5,320$2,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,596.8414034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Bucks0c5,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.753350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Bucks65c5,000$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,25029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Hawks45c4,962$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,738.3188053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ff9…b96bbacked Bucks62c4,069$2,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,523.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9149…6b27backed Bucks62c3,948$2,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hawks43c3,372$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.075,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Bucks42c3,095$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.1130826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Hawks52c2,886$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.0170640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Hawks38c2,594$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.1561345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks58c2,515$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.631,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks62c2,500$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5501,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Hawks66c2,417$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.63860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Bucks40c2,301$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.4126431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x000f…fa77backed Bucks75c2,006$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.632669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Hawks37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26019149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Hawks37c1,986$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.0437734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Bucks34c1,888$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.9670147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Hawks37c1,726$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.654535.6%16 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Bucks40c1,686$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.811,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Bucks61c1,678$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.1977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Bucks61c1,650$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.4536057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f37…b248backed Bucks1c1,630$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Bucks63c1,598$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4698…6c24backed Bucks40c1,590$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.193756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Bucks63c1,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.9340627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Bucks61c1,460$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.568251.2%42 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hawks37c1,454$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.2973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked Hawks80c1,445$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2898259.8%49 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Bucks29c1,375$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3982584%21 W · 4 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Bucks73c1,365$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88c9…3734backed Bucks61c1,310$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.87933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa201…ab01backed Hawks38c1,300$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+48.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Hawks53c1,269$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.9633931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Hawks37c1,250$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.520238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Hawks40c1,125$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67529643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcdb…5ae8backed Hawks37c1,109$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.92850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Hawks60c1,002$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.9928341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Bucks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Hawks56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44011250%56 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc116…a70abacked Bucks64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…f46bbacked Bucks52c991.16$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Bucks62c892.12$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.5429957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hawks36c833$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.121,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Hawks38c800$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49616563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Hawks40c706.63$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.9715646.2%72 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74be…4e55backed Bucks57c700$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.911080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+42%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hawks26c672.76$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Hawks39c666$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.1931125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Bucks61c655.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Hawks38c649.72$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.8320153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf901…51d3backed Bucks63c632.7$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.67230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Hawks47c571.21$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.1520851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Hawks49c545.86$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.0347229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7137…6507backed Bucks38c527.47$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3417331.2%54 W · 119 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Bucks65c517.07$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.1430061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Hawks27c500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36540726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Hawks37c476.03$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.973647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Hawks79c450$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.55959.3%35 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e09…dbddbacked Bucks63c450$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ea…d560backed Hawks37c450$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Hawks49c445.13$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.1836751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks25c425.61$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.211,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hawks38c413$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0657760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Bucks62c403.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25056348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Bucks62c399.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9968642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Bucks36c375.03$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9139843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Bucks66c357.85$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.4811140.5%45 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Hawks39c350$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.548137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed Hawks37c333$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.795556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Bucks61c328.79$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5617047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Bucks61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013959%82 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Bucks61c326.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012659.5%75 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Hawks39c320.01$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.217055.7%39 W · 31 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hawks52c302.72$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.591,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Bucks62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1861,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02e…88d5backed Hawks32c259.6$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.739453.2%50 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Hawks38c259.53$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9185347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hawks39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4189353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd3…9642backed Hawks39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4130354.1%164 W · 139 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.