MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a82fa2c15ed428e8b0fc241cb2ec583bbe7ef431ce10a7f0c4a81d3cfb7dc47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Phillies, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,051,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,054,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,051,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Padres | 39c | 754,644$296,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458,054.36 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies | 61c | 142,234$86,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,197.93 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Phillies | 61c | 107,180$65,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,007.72 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Phillies | 61c | 83,502$50,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,536.07 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Phillies | 61c | 71,923$43,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,873.02 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Phillies | 61c | 60,000$36,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,600 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Phillies | 61c | 53,803$32,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,719.9 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 61c | 52,800$32,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,208 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Phillies | 60c | 40,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Phillies | 62c | 35,911$22,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,175 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Phillies | 63c | 27,083$17,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,160.02 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 57c | 27,053$15,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,538.04 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 61c | 22,106$13,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,484.79 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Phillies | 61c | 20,946$12,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,777.26 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Phillies | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Padres | 41c | 19,668$8,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,604.37 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 52c | 10,863$5,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,652.23 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Phillies | 20c | 7,649$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 61c | 6,325$3,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,858.25 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Phillies | 50c | 5,790$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 60c | 5,380$3,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,253.93 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Phillies | 65c | 5,266$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.15 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 53c | 4,405$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Phillies | 61c | 4,136$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.91 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Padres | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.97 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Padres | 38c | 3,809$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.29 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Phillies | 16c | 3,746$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.92 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 26c | 3,439$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.72 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Phillies | 60c | 3,345$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 28c | 3,239$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 54c | 2,786$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Padres | 72c | 2,697$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.27 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x244f…c2f7backed Phillies | 60c | 2,491$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Phillies | 43c | 2,359$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.39 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 60c | 2,083$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.13 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Padres | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 40c | 1,930$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.17 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 51c | 1,919$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.35 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 22c | 1,818$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.18 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Phillies | 61c | 1,785$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce4…5576backed Phillies | 59c | 1,693$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…3ea8backed Phillies | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Phillies | 60c | 1,653$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Phillies | 61c | 1,569$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.82 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Phillies | 33c | 1,503$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Padres | 53c | 1,253$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.65 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Phillies | 12c | 1,207$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.94 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 59c | 1,180$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.19 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Phillies | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Padres | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Padres | 40c | 992.63$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.51 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Padres | 66c | 964$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.11 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Padres | 70c | 746.59$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.11 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Phillies | 47c | 741.8$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Padres | 40c | 650$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Phillies | 17c | 617.39$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Phillies | 59c | 506.02$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.63 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Phillies | 37c | 503.68$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.66 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Phillies | 53c | 502.5$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.5 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Padres | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Padres | 39c | 479$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.19 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Phillies | 39c | 471.07$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Padres | 30c | 465.68$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.14 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Padres | 51c | 442.04$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.6 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Padres | 77c | 406$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Padres | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…3032backed Phillies | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Padres | 39c | 399.82$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.89 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Phillies | 61c | 394.36$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.56 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 37c | 380.48$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Padres | 40c | 367.5$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 40c | 360.47$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Phillies | 27c | 358.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Phillies | 70c | 354.17$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.92 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Padres | 39c | 351.48$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.4 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Phillies | 59c | 349.96$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.48 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Padres | 51c | 345.16$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.03 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Padres | 39c | 328.16$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.98 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Phillies | 30c | 314.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Padres | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Phillies | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Phillies | 61c | 283.61$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Padres | 60c | 268.55$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…b39abacked Padres | 40c | 257.05$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.23 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Padres | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Padres | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Padres | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 60c | 240$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc2…c3d2backed Phillies | 60c | 236.15$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Phillies | 60c | 231.67$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Padres | 76c | 227.03$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Phillies | 62c | 222.6$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.08 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Phillies | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…b3f2backed Phillies | 45c | 219.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Phillies | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Padres | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.