Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda6fc21d1fe86953abdfa8e9e49e392c7421cfa589eef7424f8f1d4f0e577ec7

Rebuilt 9 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Sep 16, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $116,859
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $135,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,859 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7fea…8f74backed No	17c	5,026$871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871.29	73	28.8%21 W · 52 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d8…7b80backed Yes	24c	4,000$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,050	120	15%18 W · 102 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	72c	3,183$2,307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$875.67	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	57c	2,728$1,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,175.53	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	80c	2,311$1,841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.76	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	36c	2,000$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,280	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed No	7c	2,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed No	15c	1,870$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.49	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	45c	1,549$691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$858.88	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	80c	1,394$1,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.1	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes	35c	1,339$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$863.71	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-56%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	39c	1,006$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610.96	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30b6…0d6dbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	63	14.3%9 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff0…df18backed Yes	29c	976.66$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$697.14	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	32c	959.28$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26db…7abcbacked Yes	54c	829.6$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.6	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	65c	809.15$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.13	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac38…f21ebacked Yes	77c	781.02$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.02	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	-4.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ff4…eb8ebacked Yes	27c	731.39$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.39	64	31.3%20 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…12a9backed No	10c	727.53$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.7	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked No	28c	721.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e00…ea54backed No	28c	700$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c6…8908backed Yes	60c	645.41$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.18	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	79c	564.37$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.96	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Yes	26c	544.13$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.13	417	18%75 W · 342 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…5468backed No	28c	520.02$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.69	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…1ba5backed No	59c	516.39$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.16	45	20%9 W · 36 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes	77c	510.56$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.56	431	26.2%113 W · 318 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x243f…5a02backed No	29c	499.97$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.74	37	70.3%26 W · 11 L	+4.7wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x394b…0cecbacked No	30c	477.2$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.39	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	31c	457.84$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.54	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdce…a1d1backed Yes	46c	448.61$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.25	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	18c	438.94$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.84	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88d4…ffb3backed No	25c	403.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+126.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65c0…e3cfbacked Yes	76c	365.34$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.4	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-47%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebf6…a960backed No	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	112	20.5%23 W · 89 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56af…99ecbacked No	30c	318.3$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.49	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	30cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69e1…f3fdbacked Yes	42c	313.62$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-22%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbc4d…7fe8backed Yes	33c	302.56$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.56	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e55…e157backed Yes	55c	300.45$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.92	75	24%18 W · 57 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4265…1cc3backed Yes	46c	237.99$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.07	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	18c	228.01$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.04	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a54…7663backed Yes	34c	227.83$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.33	109	23.9%26 W · 83 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19af…dd83backed Yes	28c	215.91$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.91	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No	42c	210$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.2	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-12.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	69c	208.19$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.19	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9db5…d5a6backed Yes	12c	200$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	12cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce69…3e08backed No	39c	200$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	27cpaid	-80%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd822…3127backed Yes	72c	200$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	89	24.7%22 W · 67 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89e7…0ffabacked No	31c	199.99$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a12…c455backed Yes	8c	191.87$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.52	48	27.1%13 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…d054backed Yes	26c	189.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.04	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	37c	182.68$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.85	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x215d…ba6dbacked Yes	60c	167.23$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.23	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd120…5ae5backed Yes	53c	152.43$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.6	61	9.8%6 W · 55 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	21c	150$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	57c	141.64$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.71	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x392a…6bbabacked Yes	30c	138.86$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.86	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45a1…d54abacked Yes	59c	134.96$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.96	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7a1…7456backed Yes	27c	130.25$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.45	51	17.6%9 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-55%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked No	21c	124.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.45	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59ef…5191backed Yes	26c	116.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.55	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f25…0772backed No	26c	115.38$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	10c	114.66$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.97	797	35.9%286 W · 511 L	-34.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f7…6a03backed Yes	44c	113.64$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.64	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5649…0597backed Yes	15c	110.19$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.19	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…32e7backed Yes	37c	107.02$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.02	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ecf…a067backed Yes	43c	105.19$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.18	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…f2a8backed No	36c	103.29$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6030…6f2ebacked Yes	15c	100.19$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+75%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	12c	100$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c83…13e3backed Yes	78c	100$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b58…53fdbacked Yes	30c	100$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9910…f830backed Yes	17c	100$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd1d…a68fbacked Yes	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	118	20.3%24 W · 94 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	16cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44eb…e2b1backed Yes	30c	100$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	12	25%3 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9e5…dbc9backed Yes	32c	100$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9944…b035backed Yes	69c	100$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-61%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb765…f696backed Yes	61c	98.36$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.36	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-81.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes	56c	96.98$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.07	92	29.3%27 W · 65 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe863…e221backed No	29c	92.63$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.52	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	+21%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd3…a797backed Yes	45c	88.72$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.72	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd78c…ca14backed Yes	33c	85.6$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.6	50	42%21 W · 29 L	+6.2wins	+0.12per pick	30cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xddb4…3a48backed No	12c	85.56$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.17	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-67%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeee2…c260backed Yes	31c	80$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.1	125	23.2%29 W · 96 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x58c0…f0b1backed Yes	32c	60$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	42cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf87c…55b9backed Yes	30c	60$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7226…f753backed Yes	56c	57.96$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.63	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca40…2a3bbacked Yes	30c	55$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5067…6d69backed Yes	60c	55$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8d…23acbacked Yes	36c	52.78$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.78	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…3da3backed Yes	67c	52.24$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.24	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d6…796dbacked Yes	56c	51.81$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x701d…1728backed Yes	30c	50$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Yes	36c	50$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x845e…9401backed Yes	33c	50$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.5	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7965…e542backed Yes	69c	45$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.95	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	54c	44.59$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.59	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x798f…cef0backed Yes	38c	44.05$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.45	430	17%73 W · 357 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	70c	33.06$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.14	185	31.4%58 W · 127 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event