Fifa International · resolved market
UEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Portugal (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95ceff6b46e2a1a0b04e093e451994342ed86effb907acea5923d33aeb611434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portugalof Germany, Portugal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $309,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Portugal | 35c | 58,000$20,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,710 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91e…e3c1backed Portugal | 37c | 35,255$13,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,210.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…5251backed Germany | 63c | 35,255$22,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,210.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Germany | 65c | 31,769$20,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,649.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Portugal | 60c | 23,113$13,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,330.73 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed Portugal | 32c | 20,905$6,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,295.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d1…546bbacked Germany | 68c | 14,713$9,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,980.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9db…4e2fbacked Germany | 69c | 14,537$9,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,984.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Germany | 65c | 11,927$7,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,739.61 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Portugal | 37c | 6,949$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365.4 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Germany | 67c | 5,981$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Portugal | 33c | 4,823$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.02 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…2890backed Germany | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Germany | 70c | 2,856$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc73…e406backed Germany | 69c | 2,852$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed Germany | 8c | 2,792$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Portugal | 34c | 2,629$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.23 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Portugal | 32c | 2,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Portugal | 35c | 2,336$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.4 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Germany | 12c | 2,200$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.72 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Portugal | 34c | 2,100$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Germany | 68c | 1,574$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.74 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Portugal | 16c | 1,542$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.45 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…1d09backed Germany | 40c | 1,526$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…de47backed Germany | 67c | 1,502$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…280cbacked Germany | 69c | 1,450$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Portugal | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.15 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Germany | 68c | 1,313$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.79 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c9…45e9backed Portugal | 38c | 1,216$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed Portugal | 35c | 1,106$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…b9b3backed Germany | 63c | 1,093$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Germany | 57c | 1,045$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f3…c5cfbacked Portugal | 39c | 1,034$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Germany | 68c | 1,012$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.19 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Portugal | 33c | 1,000$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.47 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Portugal | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab7…15a7backed Portugal | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…a73abacked Portugal | 33c | 980$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed Portugal | 17c | 910.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +192.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Germany | 68c | 906$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…f06abacked Germany | 69c | 868.39$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Portugal | 35c | 857.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.57 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…33c6backed Germany | 66c | 821.69$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Germany | 67c | 807.99$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed7…0507backed Portugal | 34c | 719.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Portugal | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.29 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…96edbacked Germany | 44c | 703.08$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a3…93babacked Portugal | 69c | 680.89$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Germany | 72c | 658.33$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked Portugal | 36c | 631.94$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.44 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…84b0backed Portugal | 33c | 610$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Portugal | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Portugal | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Portugal | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Portugal | 33c | 596.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8c…a4ecbacked Germany | 66c | 580$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Germany | 71c | 569.99$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.94 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Germany | 67c | 551.37$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd7…047abacked Germany | 15c | 531.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…fd6cbacked Germany | 37c | 516.9$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Germany | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6223…c602backed Germany | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Portugal | 32c | 460$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.8 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Portugal | 53c | 452.53$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.01 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5110…2695backed Portugal | 34c | 440$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…3590backed Portugal | 35c | 420$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Germany | 67c | 416.6$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…af32backed Germany | 67c | 415$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Germany | 33c | 401.42$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Germany | 47c | 397.86$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Germany | 6c | 374$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Germany | 67c | 370$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.48 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…2865backed Germany | 69c | 360$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Germany | 70c | 357.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ca…e168backed Germany | 66c | 345$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…539bbacked Germany | 68c | 343.54$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +90%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x343e…04dabacked Germany | 66c | 338$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Portugal | 12c | 333.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.2 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4839…43b5backed Portugal | 33c | 310$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Portugal | 36c | 300$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +237.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Germany | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…02bfbacked Germany | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…7a1cbacked Portugal | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c7…7909backed Portugal | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae12…cbd0backed Portugal | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…85cabacked Germany | 68c | 298.45$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…ad94backed Germany | 67c | 298.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a2…28edbacked Germany | 67c | 295$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dab…9a14backed Germany | 68c | 294.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…9cd8backed Portugal | 34c | 293.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Portugal | 35c | 286.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Portugal | 35c | 286$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Portugal | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…70bcbacked Germany | 67c | 285$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5d…3deabacked Portugal | 35c | 284.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Portugal | 35c | 281.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…63dabacked Portugal | 27c | 279.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked Germany | 63c | 270.27$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.27 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…cd94backed Portugal | 35c | 264.86$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.16 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Portugal | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.