TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Blue Jackets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Red Wings, Blue Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,115
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,115 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf42a…8470backed Red Wings26c4,046$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06021620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdc4…6651backed Red Wings55c1,992$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.711136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3890…39e3backed Blue Jackets51c1,802$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.981442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7678…102ebacked Red Wings49c1,800$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8822360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jackets52c1,630$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.486649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Red Wings12c1,595$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.0858467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jackets77c1,463$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.253,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings49c1,417$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.61,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings48c1,397$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.3492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Blue Jackets48c1,319$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.6829847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Red Wings26c1,156$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.9732331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4940…0de1backed Blue Jackets52c1,150$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5521553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Red Wings35c1,064$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.3784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Blue Jackets51c999.97$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.983141.9%13 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Red Wings54c975.62$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.0923761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jackets50c862.65$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.261,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Blue Jackets53c756.6$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Red Wings49c721.7$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.6321048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jackets78c712.21$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.331,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Red Wings10c702.23$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.96940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Red Wings51c700$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35766951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings49c700$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.3672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Red Wings48c659.48$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.4649351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf42…c3b4backed Red Wings36c651.39$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2321258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Red Wings52c641.73$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.728542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Blue Jackets51c626.95$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.219459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc639…997fbacked Blue Jackets52c576$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.481540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31e2…98a8backed Red Wings48c576$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.481353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ebf…6925backed Blue Jackets52c576$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.481266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa08f…87f3backed Red Wings48c576$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.481145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817f…9802backed Red Wings48c575.42$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.621136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad71…4c93backed Red Wings48c575$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d47…b10cbacked Red Wings48c575$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57d…ca8dbacked Blue Jackets52c575$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2761656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd56b…903dbacked Red Wings48c570$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x860d…8e5abacked Blue Jackets52c570$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick47cpaid-72.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Wings23c469.79$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blue Jackets49c458.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.0979251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jackets46c452$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.0872847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Red Wings49c396.97$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5175155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Wings49c380.28$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3497651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f19…3e40backed Red Wings54c312.31$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d86…f0bbbacked Blue Jackets51c307.53$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.69757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Red Wings5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15525.8%3 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2105…64adbacked Blue Jackets52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.464252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x356f…e6cfbacked Blue Jackets52c264$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.72580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Red Wings55c249$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.954158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd35c…34e4backed Red Wings33c245.64$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.06714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-70.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc96d…3e8ebacked Red Wings12c244.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1877…4cfcbacked Blue Jackets52c213.46$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x890f…7629backed Red Wings49c213.27$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Red Wings49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010147.5%48 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaf7…6165backed Red Wings53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfce…02acbacked Red Wings50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Blue Jackets50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Red Wings50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ee3…3c6fbacked Red Wings50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6367…bf83backed Blue Jackets51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f6…20e6backed Blue Jackets51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jackets52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc93…4249backed Red Wings52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008254.9%45 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Red Wings52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Blue Jackets48c153.85$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8015663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Red Wings52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Red Wings8c147.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.79633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+142.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Red Wings51c143.41$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.131248.4%151 W · 161 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac63…b27bbacked Red Wings50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Red Wings14c140$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6cc…35dcbacked Blue Jackets52c139.6$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Red Wings50c131.23$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6160549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Red Wings52c130$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.64650%23 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dde…6b67backed Red Wings49c122$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.064235.7%15 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b0b…af48backed Red Wings49c114.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.18742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf862…e2babacked Blue Jackets51c112.51$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.132653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1f…0227backed Red Wings50c111.6$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.82462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a2d…e15abacked Red Wings16c111$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0765…b732backed Blue Jackets51c105.16$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.53771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6072…fb46backed Blue Jackets49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.045954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3f…3aa3backed Blue Jackets50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc80e…b59dbacked Red Wings49c101.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-44.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Red Wings48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Blue Jackets50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5020147.3%95 W · 106 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Blue Jackets50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5081846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Blue Jackets49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5127643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe408…232bbacked Blue Jackets49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Blue Jackets50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5036242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Blue Jackets48c99.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.996050%30 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…8071backed Red Wings50c98.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.17933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jackets52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Blue Jackets52c95.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8818452.2%96 W · 88 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Red Wings48c95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.64134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae36…0dc6backed Red Wings51c88.46$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.56246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Red Wings49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4076450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce19…08a6backed Red Wings50c80.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.292759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Blue Jackets48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.68870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc709…9253backed Blue Jackets51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.21250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…30bcbacked Red Wings49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c3…a5c2backed Red Wings50c78.66$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.331040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7ef3backed Blue Jackets51c78.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.545100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34a4…93fcbacked Blue Jackets50c78.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.331172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.