World Politics · resolved market
Will the Liberals win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb1794153bcda118354815961738627534574e4b5cc1fe39f587b442480a742e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 5c | 30,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +192.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…ccbabacked Yes | 78c | 10,125$7,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,872.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 75c | 4,654$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 22c | 4,299$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.9 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 73c | 2,949$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.67 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 74c | 2,854$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.46 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 73c | 2,218$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.94 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 66c | 2,100$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…0ec1backed Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed No | 21c | 1,944$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.31 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 72c | 1,500$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb30f…9505backed Yes | 74c | 1,284$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 67c | 1,200$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…3e1ebacked Yes | 75c | 1,067$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed Yes | 77c | 879.8$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.14 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 74c | 729.24$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.44 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 33c | 724.56$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.95 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 75c | 667.77$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 72c | 650$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.14 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7c…cb2dbacked Yes | 79c | 635.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +142.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce9…764cbacked Yes | 75c | 610.11$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 23c | 546.16$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.15 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…c670backed Yes | 71c | 492.54$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 27c | 450$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.1 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…8c3dbacked Yes | 78c | 400$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 66c | 395$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.25 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes | 76c | 364.69$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.66 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d15…c1c2backed Yes | 77c | 355.51$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.42 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Yes | 74c | 339.78$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes | 74c | 321.62$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x992f…6c44backed Yes | 79c | 293.91$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe535…96d3backed Yes | 74c | 285.35$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.16 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…64f8backed Yes | 67c | 284$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7aebbacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x002c…cbc2backed Yes | 73c | 270$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Yes | 75c | 268.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…34e1backed Yes | 76c | 264.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…64bdbacked Yes | 79c | 257.58$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…dbc9backed Yes | 70c | 209.25$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8891backed Yes | 77c | 200$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f85…9adcbacked Yes | 76c | 192.33$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a3…2b37backed Yes | 73c | 170$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 31c | 162$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 28c | 158.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.71 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c2…0403backed Yes | 76c | 156.19$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…9d5cbacked Yes | 76c | 146.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.71 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed Yes | 75c | 144.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 25c | 131.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 26c | 130.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 74c | 130$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…0d1abacked Yes | 79c | 126.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…f6dbbacked Yes | 79c | 126.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…cad1backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x157b…87dcbacked Yes | 77c | 126.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…c9bfbacked Yes | 78c | 123.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x841a…1dc2backed Yes | 80c | 122.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 65cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf330…f779backed Yes | 77c | 117.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a02…ba2cbacked Yes | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x100b…dee4backed No | 28c | 111.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +176.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 26c | 108.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 63c | 108$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad3…b694backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 32cpaid | -86%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x781f…6763backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…6802backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67c6…9177backed No | 23c | 96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…8621backed Yes | 78c | 93.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 32c | 90$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 43c | 86.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 24c | 86.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d37…a680backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf729…c2fcbacked No | 29c | 70.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22e…489ebacked No | 24c | 69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf218…abf4backed Yes | 69c | 67.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -81%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c13…b602backed Yes | 74c | 67.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e1…cce4backed Yes | 73c | 66.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…d186backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9131…d029backed No | 29c | 64.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +138.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…f5e1backed Yes | 73c | 61.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c06…2192backed No | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc685…d042backed No | 27c | 58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2808…16babacked Yes | 78c | 57.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…1ff5backed Yes | 77c | 57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…1bafbacked No | 27c | 52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…43b7backed Yes | 74c | 47.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5328…848fbacked No | 28c | 45.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +239.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 28c | 44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…1027backed No | 28c | 43.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffd…0668backed Yes | 74c | 43.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93c5…1411backed Yes | 73c | 43.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…aa9cbacked No | 24c | 43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb73d…0b78backed Yes | 73c | 42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…ebd2backed Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…ac14backed No | 28c | 39.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +187.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…68a9backed Yes | 74c | 39.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…22bcbacked Yes | 70c | 38.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…8d98backed No | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c2…0fb6backed Yes | 55c | 33.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Liberals win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?this page
- Will the Greens win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?No won
- Will the New Democrats win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will the Progressive Conservatives win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.