Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton vs. Fulham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x545c596f5c44f8a4f231a9931fc3fe2f8b28a4782f66c359f564a7750f23d555
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4455…4864backed Yes | 27c | 10,012$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb31…04d6backed No | 73c | 9,997$7,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 18c | 1,828$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.15 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 50c | 1,606$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.24 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 7c | 1,492$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 73c | 1,111$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.64 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 46c | 1,085$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.59 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 30c | 1,062$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.51 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 47c | 998.1$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.44 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…366bbacked No | 50c | 883.14$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af6…577bbacked Yes | 28c | 635.71$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 27c | 592.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27eb…05a1backed No | 74c | 436.49$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +92%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 415.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed No | 78c | 414.64$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…c206backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…34b4backed Yes | 28c | 354.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 26c | 350$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 29c | 348.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 72c | 338.97$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes | 36c | 317.41$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…5f9dbacked No | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…3ebfbacked Yes | 28c | 282.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…8b4dbacked Yes | 28c | 275$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…f93dbacked No | 74c | 270.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…2fa3backed No | 74c | 270.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Yes | 65c | 246.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Yes | 78c | 220.28$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 28c | 175.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 36c | 160$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Yes | 39c | 141.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…a64bbacked Yes | 28c | 131.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 27cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…71b3backed No | 75c | 84.24$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…d22fbacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce8…9ea5backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 28c | 77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 33c | 71.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 70.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79a6…4a33backed No | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…4e67backed Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…5c64backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 69c | 54.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc039…e2e0backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 64c | 44.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 30c | 43.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…098abacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…4f82backed Yes | 41c | 36.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…39d9backed Yes | 78c | 31.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…5cdbbacked Yes | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…dbc9backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton vs. Fulham end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2025-03-08?Yes won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.