Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham win on 2025-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f98e7ddc865d076a59c84413077bc0d4c7cbe4a9a05db8306ab12d7577e787e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 74c | 9,536$7,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.02 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb246…4483backed Yes | 1c | 8,366$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 73c | 4,500$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.56 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 73c | 4,479$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.27 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.91 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 26c | 3,795$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.39 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 26c | 3,312$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 27c | 3,158$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 74c | 2,700$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.99 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Yes | 28c | 2,693$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.03 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 27c | 1,855$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 66c | 1,836$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.12 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 74c | 1,065$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.97 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes | 24c | 849.4$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.22 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 75c | 792.73$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.18 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 29c | 605$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 24c | 579.48$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 25c | 577$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.72 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 74c | 469$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.94 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 27c | 462.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 78c | 377.78$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…8718backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 73c | 328.94$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes | 25c | 322.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92b…fa4dbacked Yes | 25c | 316.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…8f76backed Yes | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 302.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 74c | 270$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…8e5bbacked Yes | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…f93dbacked Yes | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ef…8ea9backed Yes | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…822bbacked Yes | 26c | 265.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 74c | 242$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…9c96backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes | 25c | 232.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 232$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 26c | 229.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.82 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 212$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 75c | 209$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 75c | 162.96$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 74c | 134$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 75c | 127$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 26c | 124.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 74c | 109$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed No | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 49c | 100.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 74c | 94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 27c | 87.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 74c | 79.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…7ab2backed No | 75c | 78.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…8e9abacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 26c | 76.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…70f9backed Yes | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Yes | 51c | 57.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 44c | 56.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c16…31eabacked Yes | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 24c | 44.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 27c | 42.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…423fbacked Yes | 27c | 40.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham win on 2025-03-08?this page
- Will Brighton vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
- Will Brighton win on 2025-03-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.