Us Politics · resolved market
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06f1d27b38f762cf3c9f44f498506b261069bdc19ae1581d2f7899cd9ece3df0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74db…4ca5backed Yes | 26c | 11,414$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked No | 74c | 7,264$5,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…ce37backed Yes | 31c | 6,623$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 2c | 6,576$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.38 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 4,281$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 4,215$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked Yes | 35c | 3,340$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.9 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 71c | 3,333$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.57 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…0e32backed Yes | 0c | 2,858$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e38…1b55backed No | 76c | 2,845$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 73c | 2,143$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.88 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed No | 74c | 1,979$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.48 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…7201backed No | 68c | 1,975$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a40…d801backed Yes | 26c | 1,938$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 67c | 1,820$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.13 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa502…ce8dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,667$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 25c | 1,633$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.49 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed No | 71c | 1,400$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 77c | 1,367$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.61 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…9143backed Yes | 1c | 1,365$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 74c | 1,213$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.47 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…af66backed Yes | 30c | 1,200$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1be3…74f2backed No | 75c | 1,168$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 72c | 1,140$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 23c | 1,079$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.44 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…ce0abacked Yes | 27c | 1,056$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,007$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 26c | 1,006$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.77 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…7945backed Yes | 1c | 975.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423b…cb44backed Yes | 1c | 950.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 73c | 801.8$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked No | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…fc2abacked Yes | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 69c | 799.43$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.83 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 74c | 781.95$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.59 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked No | 69c | 760.02$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.94 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 749.56$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 73c | 744$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.88 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Yes | 29c | 743.42$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.79 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 25c | 661.54$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.62 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a2…033fbacked Yes | 25c | 611.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…f176backed No | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +187.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…8852backed Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…a125backed Yes | 28c | 599.96$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…e468backed Yes | 4c | 578.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 68c | 554.99$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 34c | 546.47$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.8 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…cf2abacked Yes | 31c | 540$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 21c | 519.88$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 76c | 501.83$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.44 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…3143backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…aaadbacked Yes | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 465.81$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.31 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 6c | 461.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 193 | 28.5%55 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed Yes | 23c | 443.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…e536backed Yes | 24c | 413.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 72c | 411.43$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.74 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…19cfbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8338…8be1backed No | 75c | 399.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…ee2dbacked Yes | 25c | 398.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 396.2$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.41 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…9941backed Yes | 25c | 393.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +72%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 67c | 390$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked No | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 18c | 370$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f11…b63fbacked No | 66c | 358.56$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c0…c87cbacked Yes | 29c | 350.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 68c | 340.86$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.32 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…a2c4backed No | 77c | 338.67$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…ce82backed Yes | 22c | 336.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked No | 72c | 334.79$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.38 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 30c | 332.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…4efabacked No | 77c | 332.74$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed No | 72c | 319$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 34c | 304$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…9ca7backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked No | 68c | 295.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…d25dbacked No | 70c | 293.9$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 69c | 293.61$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…ec40backed Yes | 33c | 284.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa290…872fbacked No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e84…7040backed Yes | 7c | 279.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…92dcbacked Yes | 24c | 269.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…5c10backed No | 75c | 266.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…9960backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9795…1328backed No | 77c | 258.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd36e…f9adbacked Yes | 31c | 257.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48d…44fabacked Yes | 32c | 253.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 33c | 241.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed No | 76c | 238.68$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…5ec5backed No | 77c | 222.86$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 74c | 222$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.