NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06718b2ca8a0b21aa43751c1899acf4797dad23179a92ef9558f7dd7ccb1e39a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $812,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $719,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $812,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic | 16c | 100,313$16,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,066.14 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Magic | 16c | 58,857$9,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,440.14 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 22c | 47,368$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,017.45 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Magic | 23c | 41,714$9,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,032.06 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Magic | 17c | 41,119$7,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,113.56 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Magic | 19c | 38,344$7,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,140.13 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Magic | 16c | 34,227$5,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,695.41 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Magic | 16c | 24,500$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,530 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Cavaliers | 71c | 16,880$11,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,955.1 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 17c | 16,050$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,401.49 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Magic | 16c | 15,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,539.98 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Magic | 17c | 13,418$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,087.69 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Magic | 17c | 11,922$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,875.91 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 17c | 10,604$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,795.91 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Magic | 18c | 10,005$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,204.39 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Magic | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Magic | 14c | 8,597$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,410.62 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Magic | 9c | 8,486$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,741.22 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Magic | 16c | 8,160$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,844.83 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Magic | 18c | 7,300$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,005.95 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Magic | 16c | 6,787$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,670.2 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 6c | 5,514$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,183.44 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Magic | 47c | 5,000$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 18c | 4,896$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995.76 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cavaliers | 77c | 4,441$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.44 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Magic | 16c | 4,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.68 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Magic | 18c | 3,692$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027.16 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Magic | 17c | 2,933$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.06 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 24c | 2,786$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.71 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 18c | 2,713$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.97 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 18c | 2,701$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.04 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Magic | 16c | 2,678$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.24 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cd…2449backed Magic | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Magic | 12c | 2,578$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.98 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 11c | 2,557$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.21 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f2…7a3bbacked Magic | 17c | 2,553$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Magic | 15c | 2,204$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.4 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed Magic | 28c | 2,184$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.16 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Magic | 36c | 2,146$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.12 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Cavaliers | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Magic | 15c | 1,734$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.84 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Cavaliers | 20c | 1,600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.23 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc065…0fcabacked Magic | 16c | 1,459$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +332.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Magic | 16c | 1,400$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.49 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Cavaliers | 18c | 1,343$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.36 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Magic | 15c | 1,274$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.35 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Magic | 18c | 1,224$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.94 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Magic | 17c | 1,200$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Magic | 16c | 1,158$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.21 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Magic | 9c | 1,062$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.37 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…2a2abacked Magic | 19c | 1,052$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.12 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Magic | 12c | 1,028$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.47 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Magic | 17c | 1,001$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.83 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…6929backed Magic | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7206…c0acbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe6…64bebacked Magic | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Magic | 18c | 944.44$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.45 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Cavaliers | 70c | 924.29$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Magic | 15c | 915.25$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.25 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Magic | 13c | 900$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Cavaliers | 75c | 845.2$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.31 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Magic | 20c | 800$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Magic | 16c | 799.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.18 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0025…6ca8backed Cavaliers | 25c | 791.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744a…d2e1backed Magic | 16c | 770.5$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Magic | 21c | 753.83$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.83 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Cavaliers | 76c | 719.97$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.18 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Cavaliers | 64c | 589.8$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.47 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Cavaliers | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Magic | 17c | 539.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.16 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Magic | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.15 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Cavaliers | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…7535backed Magic | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…0f75backed Magic | 10c | 480$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Magic | 16c | 467.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.93 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…8b43backed Magic | 18c | 461.11$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.11 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Magic | 22c | 447.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.13 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…5a81backed Magic | 23c | 435.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Magic | 10c | 400$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Magic | 18c | 388$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.65 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…82c7backed Magic | 19c | 369.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.7 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…8f6bbacked Magic | 10c | 364.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.01 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa692…c018backed Magic | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Magic | 18c | 350$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.65 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cavaliers | 65c | 344.66$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.92 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…2318backed Magic | 18c | 332$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecd…1a58backed Magic | 38c | 315.95$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.28 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…95fbbacked Magic | 6c | 314.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.29 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Magic | 32c | 309.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Magic | 11c | 300$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Magic | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Magic | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…f019backed Cavaliers | 77c | 295.96$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.25 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Magic | 17c | 295.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.48 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Magic | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Magic | 17c | 279.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.72 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.