NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fce63f29a66b2a17c611a66659747c777492e1884d032314e3fb06aee8a1623
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Pelicans | 3c | 55,195$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.9 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pelicans | 20c | 20,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Pelicans | 46c | 15,000$6,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,891.52 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Pelicans | 48c | 9,136$4,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,362.81 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans | 0c | 8,780$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 0c | 8,189$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 54c | 7,800$4,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,577.06 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans | 0c | 4,841$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Magic | 80c | 4,543$3,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.5 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 53c | 4,364$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.76 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Magic | 57c | 4,143$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.19 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pelicans | 43c | 3,713$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.47 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ba…7206backed Magic | 56c | 3,700$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Magic | 54c | 3,446$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Pelicans | 45c | 2,457$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 55c | 2,405$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.77 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Magic | 56c | 2,068$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.08 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Pelicans | 43c | 2,000$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.97 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Magic | 57c | 1,926$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.56 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Pelicans | 43c | 1,921$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.03 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Pelicans | 42c | 1,610$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.23 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Magic | 55c | 1,500$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pelicans | 1c | 1,450$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Pelicans | 44c | 1,443$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.92 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Pelicans | 3c | 1,366$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans | 44c | 1,353$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.38 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Magic | 55c | 1,268$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.38 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Magic | 54c | 1,249$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.15 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3403…fa27backed Pelicans | 45c | 1,236$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…c835backed Pelicans | 44c | 1,233$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 60c | 1,228$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.54 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2397…7f88backed Pelicans | 44c | 1,220$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Pelicans | 46c | 1,202$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pelicans | 8c | 1,192$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Pelicans | 47c | 1,173$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.8 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc492…b410backed Pelicans | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02b…7eaebacked Magic | 54c | 1,043$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Pelicans | 46c | 1,016$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.18 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Pelicans | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Magic | 56c | 929.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.73 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…eb27backed Magic | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…1846backed Pelicans | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Magic | 63c | 797$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.31 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pelicans | 38c | 788.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Magic | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Pelicans | 13c | 669.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Magic | 56c | 630.11$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.11 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans | 6c | 614.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 55c | 589.98$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.49 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Magic | 74c | 566.17$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.65 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 54c | 527.39$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.45 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Pelicans | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 57c | 416.76$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.1 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Pelicans | 4c | 391.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Magic | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Magic | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Magic | 54c | 349.37$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.71 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Magic | 61c | 329.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Pelicans | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33cd…2449backed Pelicans | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pelicans | 14c | 315.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Magic | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Pelicans | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Magic | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Magic | 76c | 290.24$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…f87fbacked Magic | 52c | 290$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Magic | 73c | 274.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Pelicans | 44c | 265.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15c…e6e4backed Magic | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Pelicans | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans | 46c | 225$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Pelicans | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Magic | 53c | 220$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Pelicans | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed Magic | 55c | 208$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…446cbacked Pelicans | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…3e0ebacked Magic | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…cb8bbacked Pelicans | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b4…19b6backed Pelicans | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a7…b9fabacked Magic | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed9…a1d7backed Magic | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124f…683dbacked Pelicans | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…c8c4backed Pelicans | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ce…4283backed Pelicans | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4a…96a0backed Pelicans | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1c…a2b2backed Pelicans | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…8a37backed Pelicans | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb60…7c3bbacked Pelicans | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef0…782fbacked Pelicans | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…ed44backed Pelicans | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c9…14efbacked Magic | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…ebc8backed Pelicans | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6b…6c07backed Magic | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0859…05b5backed Magic | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c18…873bbacked Pelicans | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7c…557ebacked Magic | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1195…d6d9backed Magic | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…4747backed Magic | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1581…0ffcbacked Pelicans | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…d39ebacked Pelicans | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.