Chess · resolved market
Will Game 7 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ed7f26d3b469b5b1cf6c4e51afa5bf4eaf8400407001ba7e0737d0f2a7809d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…b609backed Yes | 12c | 6,065$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,317.27 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 23c | 4,322$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 41c | 3,639$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.06 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd667…9a78backed Yes | 62c | 2,357$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca7…31a2backed Yes | 59c | 1,561$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.64 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5,506%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…65fabacked Yes | 46c | 1,338$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…a5c3backed No | 75c | 1,277$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…4805backed Yes | 68c | 1,228$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 41c | 1,196$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.02 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 30c | 1,079$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Yes | 62c | 1,063$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 21c | 943.64$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.81 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked No | 68c | 902.36$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Yes | 78c | 820$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 32c | 799.98$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked No | 58c | 770.69$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602b…c2c0backed Yes | 54c | 739$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…8786backed Yes | 48c | 723.63$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.63 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…e7ebbacked Yes | 22c | 722.13$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.04 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 45c | 717$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.13 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Yes | 63c | 700$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df8…5907backed Yes | 18c | 700$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 66c | 662.06$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.1 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…c799backed Yes | 11c | 636.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.29 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad2…f7f0backed No | 8c | 599.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Yes | 22c | 592.54$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.35 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…1a0dbacked Yes | 34c | 447.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.73 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…d48cbacked Yes | 30c | 445.03$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.63 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101a…3a32backed Yes | 68c | 422.08$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a52…3390backed Yes | 52c | 370.73$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…044dbacked No | 53c | 369.26$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 296.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -10.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0851…db2ebacked Yes | 80c | 256.1$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Yes | 62c | 249.72$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6b…a799backed No | 74c | 246.49$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb59f…cd73backed Yes | 41c | 243.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.49 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…68fabacked No | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 26c | 240.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 11c | 203.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.33 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 16cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7f26backed Yes | 26c | 187.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 54c | 185.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0c…af0ebacked No | 44c | 169.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…eb03backed Yes | 31c | 169.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…f4adbacked Yes | 34c | 148.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed No | 34c | 148.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | -12.3wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Yes | 80c | 133.15$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…b177backed Yes | 38c | 132.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…c991backed Yes | 54c | 129.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…ebb6backed Yes | 55c | 123$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…012bbacked Yes | 48c | 115.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c9…7dc6backed Yes | 26c | 114.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe95f…1a57backed Yes | 14c | 110$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc5…a830backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…1e50backed Yes | 67c | 108$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc201…1c9ebacked No | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…715cbacked Yes | 14c | 100.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +149.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…dee6backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa256…fc1ebacked Yes | 24c | 96.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4166…3236backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…80a3backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…11d5backed Yes | 78c | 86.82$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…c0c4backed Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked No | 24c | 79.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…e83ebacked No | 79c | 74.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716f…8929backed Yes | 31c | 72.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +220.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…14cebacked Yes | 15c | 71.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…0b9ebacked Yes | 63c | 71.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11f…df5cbacked Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde59…b425backed Yes | 29c | 50.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3369backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf033…9ea3backed Yes | 68c | 44.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff0…f9e0backed No | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…58b9backed Yes | 68c | 39.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48e…8f7dbacked No | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…6d22backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…e932backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b7…b222backed Yes | 46c | 28.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…dc28backed No | 46c | 26.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 47c | 26.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…410bbacked Yes | 63c | 23.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x774d…f49fbacked Yes | 80c | 18.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a03…0fcabacked Yes | 65c | 17.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f54…78c4backed Yes | 63c | 17.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Game 7 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?this page
- Will Ding Liren win Game 7 of the World Chess Championship?No won
- Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 7 of the World Chess ChampionshipNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.