TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Rutgers vs. Kansas State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kansas Stateof Rutgers, Kansas State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$183,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$216,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,776 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe77f…4374backed Kansas State73c12,351$8,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,387.021650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Rutgers36c11,585$4,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,157.3119043.2%82 W · 108 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rutgers28c10,636$2,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,946.9630949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…9661backed Kansas State76c10,310$7,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,509.311435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rutgers45c8,809$3,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,981.6286243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kansas State67c5,704$3,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.0223145.5%105 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb511…01dabacked Kansas State61c5,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9401145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick67cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Rutgers64c4,969$3,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,181.516547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Kansas State34c4,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6407335.6%26 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Rutgers62c3,504$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Rutgers66c3,500$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3106251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b8…cc82backed Rutgers52c3,216$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.82450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rutgers32c3,095$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.699843.9%43 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Kansas State36c2,800$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7923842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Kansas State65c2,531$1,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.26988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+63.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Rutgers47c2,434$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.44229.1%2 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick32cpaid-73.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Kansas State72c2,076$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.673764.9%24 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Rutgers41c2,056$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.412213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-77.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Rutgers1c1,980$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.965520%11 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Kansas State66c1,650$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.323066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20e…5998backed Kansas State80c1,391$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.142050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3195…a94fbacked Kansas State67c1,274$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.513951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Rutgers29c1,240$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7764…dc84backed Kansas State28c1,208$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.28825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+100.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Kansas State75c1,148$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.918347%39 W · 44 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Rutgers48c1,038$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.95543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rutgers28c999.97$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9939847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32a3…3728backed Kansas State71c985.92$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4391…1f2cbacked Rutgers31c970.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rutgers1c950$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.86323.1%1 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-94.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Kansas State53c928.12$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.1320341.9%85 W · 118 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Kansas State72c845.86$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.3111070%77 W · 33 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Rutgers30c835.75$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.73966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Kansas State71c680.21$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.658078.8%63 W · 17 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Rutgers38c658.31$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.661844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Kansas State70c593.96$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.191154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Rutgers28c557.36$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.064445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Rutgers74c507.59$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.626855.9%38 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Rutgers28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Kansas State39c498.15$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.155930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Rutgers62c488.64$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.958643%37 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…a30cbacked Kansas State26c417$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.682454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Kansas State73c410.72$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.681241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Kansas State58c406.34$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.66650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kansas State63c400$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.9318858%109 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Kansas State63c399.98$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.991566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Rutgers27c366.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002532%8 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Kansas State38c352.94$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.821729.4%5 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Kansas State67c350$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked Rutgers64c346.98$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.621758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9113…f506backed Rutgers75c346.97$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Rutgers29c344.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.031233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25de…794bbacked Rutgers43c343.75$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.762040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37cd…5b44backed Kansas State45c299.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Rutgers9c261.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.456450%32 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Rutgers53c255.95$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353250%16 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+51.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kansas State70c254.99$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.757653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Rutgers45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.511839%46 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Kansas State53c244.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.11233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71c0…fd11backed Rutgers60c229.57$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.691315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x483e…2d6bbacked Kansas State63c222.94$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.54771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Rutgers16c222$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.052370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rutgers52c200$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10314945.6%68 W · 81 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kansas State43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb533…26d5backed Rutgers80c200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Rutgers30c198.58$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Kansas State53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+77.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Rutgers29c184.34$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.461850%9 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+84%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Rutgers30c166.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b21…afbfbacked Rutgers30c150.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aab…b038backed Kansas State71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf01…f97abacked Kansas State72c148.4$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-53.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d38…2122backed Rutgers68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Kansas State71c140.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.442060%12 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f08…22c7backed Kansas State72c136.6$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.25560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1689…7915backed Rutgers30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06ec…a3b9backed Rutgers30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+109.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Rutgers79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Rutgers19c120$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.83542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rutgers22c115.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9312816.4%21 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb69…69d6backed Kansas State73c109.24$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c98…d0f6backed Kansas State71c104.56$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick69cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Kansas State72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281580%12 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Rutgers27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c06…60ecbacked Kansas State72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Rutgers30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012433.1%41 W · 83 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0206…82b5backed Kansas State72c98.69$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick73cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Kansas State66c98.02$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.024450%22 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Rutgers66c90.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Kansas State46c90.42$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.482147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Rutgers46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb4…9653backed Kansas State70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb579…f458backed Kansas State70c63.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9812641.3%52 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1e…230abacked Rutgers48c63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+69.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e5…316dbacked Rutgers29c62.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-47.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5254…a27fbacked Rutgers28c60.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x164e…8ca0backed Rutgers30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9686…6975backed Kansas State70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9322…a2a4backed Kansas State72c55.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c2…fe86backed Kansas State72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.56785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick76cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.