Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3daef3945d4f2952137fd8da9c3436c753aee7f2b4f692c0abc056c5b08cb1d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof MOUZ, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed MOUZ | 62c | 20,550$12,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,794.26 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Yellow Submarine | 36c | 12,147$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,776.72 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Yellow Submarine | 39c | 12,125$4,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,395.41 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,399.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ | 71c | 6,758$4,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,801.83 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed MOUZ | 42c | 4,276$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.87 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 4,102$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.63 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed MOUZ | 65c | 3,870$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked MOUZ | 58c | 3,753$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.68 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed MOUZ | 53c | 3,531$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.51 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 2,785$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.82 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ | 57c | 2,457$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.31 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Yellow Submarine | 34c | 2,324$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.45 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 61c | 2,263$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.06 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed MOUZ | 3c | 2,170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 62c | 1,832$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.68 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 1,788$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.88 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 69c | 1,750$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed MOUZ | 61c | 1,599$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.38 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yellow Submarine | 36c | 1,462$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.24 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 74c | 1,386$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.6 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…18a3backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 1,383$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.24 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 57c | 1,250$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.32 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Yellow Submarine | 35c | 1,235$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.65 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 1,212$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.15 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Yellow Submarine | 65c | 1,197$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.28 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 1,164$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.13 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 1,125$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.91 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 1,043$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.3 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked MOUZ | 64c | 1,041$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.94 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,041$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed MOUZ | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed MOUZ | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Yellow Submarine | 35c | 951.12$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.12 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked MOUZ | 77c | 936.63$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.21 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Yellow Submarine | 32c | 841.2$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.23 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 839.14$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.99 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 833$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked MOUZ | 66c | 800$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Yellow Submarine | 23c | 788.11$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.11 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Yellow Submarine | 34c | 749.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.99 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yellow Submarine | 78c | 712.69$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.17 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yellow Submarine | 4c | 712.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.86 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 710$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.4 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed MOUZ | 16c | 693.35$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 680.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.54 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 679.34$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.83 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Yellow Submarine | 36c | 664.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.74 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed MOUZ | 24c | 627.05$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed MOUZ | 66c | 605.37$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.54 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked MOUZ | 57c | 600.07$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.47 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 64c | 599.05$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.39 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed MOUZ | 70c | 562.66$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.05 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked MOUZ | 61c | 555.77$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.04 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed MOUZ | 65c | 510.91$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked MOUZ | 67c | 510.05$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed MOUZ | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 499.97$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.98 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yellow Submarine | 44c | 484.8$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.18 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ | 67c | 478.45$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.32 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 461.36$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Yellow Submarine | 8c | 451.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.7 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yellow Submarine | 37c | 450$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.53 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 445.52$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.68 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 401.84$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.12 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed MOUZ | 16c | 400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 400$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked MOUZ | 16c | 399.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MOUZ | 49c | 395.33$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.06 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed MOUZ | 66c | 377.73$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.3 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked MOUZ | 56c | 372.2$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.97 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ | 54c | 369$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.92 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yellow Submarine | 47c | 360.32$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.97 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed MOUZ | 63c | 348.64$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.7 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 326.41$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.68 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked MOUZ | 49c | 322.79$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.74 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed MOUZ | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed MOUZ | 50c | 299.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked MOUZ | 65c | 298.69$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 297.59$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.22 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed MOUZ | 78c | 280$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.2 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 272.2$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.2 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed MOUZ | 74c | 270$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ | 8c | 261.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 249.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.47 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked MOUZ | 64c | 245.69$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed MOUZ | 60c | 238.4$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.04 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…c640backed MOUZ | 79c | 237.95$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…c2f5backed Yellow Submarine | 24c | 210$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.2 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 200.19$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.12 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ed…41b2backed MOUZ | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed MOUZ | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Yellow Submarine | 33c | 200$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 192.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x158e…216bbacked MOUZ | 15c | 175.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MOUZ | 17c | 168$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?Yes won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.