Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3df4b71b3ebd79ac6bf42b5929f5ce05d150049b994673951442d19a80ec82ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof MOUZ, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed MOUZ | 61c | 32,605$19,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,933.15 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Yellow Submarine | 61c | 17,588$10,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,828.02 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 35c | 11,175$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880.03 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.98 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yellow Submarine | 41c | 9,426$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,577.74 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 5,050$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.85 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked MOUZ | 60c | 4,651$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.24 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Yellow Submarine | 40c | 3,253$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.09 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed MOUZ | 59c | 3,182$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.17 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 2,748$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.95 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Yellow Submarine | 63c | 2,712$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.15 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked MOUZ | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed MOUZ | 62c | 2,183$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.9 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 2,181$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.96 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Yellow Submarine | 42c | 2,155$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.15 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked MOUZ | 61c | 2,141$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.07 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yellow Submarine | 38c | 2,106$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.53 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 2,021$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.28 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,997$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.18 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Yellow Submarine | 35c | 1,989$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.73 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 1,859$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.37 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 1,782$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.66 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,666$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.8 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed Yellow Submarine | 41c | 1,347$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.84 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…1fb2backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 1,344$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.91 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…9d0bbacked Yellow Submarine | 36c | 1,322$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 1,292$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.01 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 1,204$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.59 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed MOUZ | 64c | 1,202$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.51 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 1,188$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.86 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed MOUZ | 55c | 1,096$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.8 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed MOUZ | 5c | 1,084$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Yellow Submarine | 59c | 1,074$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.44 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 63c | 1,065$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.02 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Yellow Submarine | 71c | 1,044$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.38 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked MOUZ | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed MOUZ | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed MOUZ | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yellow Submarine | 41c | 965.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.95 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 949.99$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.5 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked MOUZ | 66c | 945.63$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.7 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed MOUZ | 64c | 876.56$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed MOUZ | 58c | 866.53$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.65 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 815.18$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.61 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ | 50c | 804.23$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.59 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 801.06$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.55 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed MOUZ | 63c | 799.95$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.97 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed MOUZ | 59c | 771.99$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.48 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Yellow Submarine | 39c | 750$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.5 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Yellow Submarine | 41c | 699.99$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Yellow Submarine | 42c | 693.01$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.2 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ | 56c | 689.39$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.01 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Yellow Submarine | 38c | 684.04$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.85 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Yellow Submarine | 39c | 669.31$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.07 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 626.92$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.48 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed MOUZ | 63c | 602.72$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.53 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 593.54$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.2 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked MOUZ | 63c | 587.61$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.98 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 578.52$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.77 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ | 30c | 512.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.34 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 500.1$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.06 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed MOUZ | 33c | 500$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed MOUZ | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.9 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 499.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.98 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed MOUZ | 68c | 489.71$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Yellow Submarine | 37c | 421.68$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.66 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 415.22$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed MOUZ | 50c | 400$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 384.94$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.46 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 363.7$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.7 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…dea7backed MOUZ | 29c | 357.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed MOUZ | 9c | 349.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 349.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.49 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ | 23c | 344$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.63 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ | 46c | 340.48$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed MOUZ | 63c | 333.46$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.16 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Yellow Submarine | 42c | 327.49$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.53 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0452…843cbacked Yellow Submarine | 71c | 324.57$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.02 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 67c | 323.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.08 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked MOUZ | 65c | 321$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.65 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed MOUZ | 36c | 309.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.9 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked MOUZ | 61c | 307$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Yellow Submarine | 71c | 304.27$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked MOUZ | 59c | 304$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.36 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…de95backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda45…a2c6backed MOUZ | 63c | 300$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed MOUZ | 63c | 291.52$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Yellow Submarine | 61c | 285.77$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.8 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Yellow Submarine | 39c | 285.25$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 279.86$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed MOUZ | 10c | 264.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed MOUZ | 47c | 260$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 250.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.83 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 248$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.28 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…0f14backed MOUZ | 57c | 247.08$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 244.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ed…41b2backed MOUZ | 66c | 239.26$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.91 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?Yes won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.