NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f54c2e455dfe89694c27dd73fc7546ccb086ee7c200651a7d37c5e4de2721a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pacers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $634,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $710,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $634,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 821 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Heat | 32c | 170,899$55,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,163.95 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Pacers | 73c | 58,876$42,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,991.29 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Heat | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Pacers | 72c | 35,490$25,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,947.57 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Heat | 55c | 28,785$15,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,831.64 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Heat | 2c | 25,066$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.98 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Pacers | 45c | 22,000$9,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,113.26 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Heat | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Pacers | 46c | 14,970$6,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,054.73 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ba…99c7backed Heat | 54c | 12,962$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Pacers | 65c | 12,699$8,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,489.85 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…9d0ebacked Heat | 56c | 11,831$6,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,571.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…7475backed Pacers | 46c | 11,641$5,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,285.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed Pacers | 55c | 11,263$6,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,014.36 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Pacers | 67c | 11,162$7,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,669.37 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2c…b94dbacked Heat | 2c | 10,900$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pacers | 45c | 10,073$4,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,490.31 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 64c | 9,811$6,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.4 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…0b75backed Heat | 55c | 9,580$5,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,269 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers | 64c | 8,359$5,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.39 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Pacers | 43c | 7,659$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340.78 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Pacers | 45c | 6,500$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,559.99 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…078fbacked Pacers | 45c | 5,897$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Heat | 53c | 5,644$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.4 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ef…1b6ebacked Heat | 5c | 5,040$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Heat | 56c | 4,532$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.39 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…377fbacked Pacers | 45c | 3,492$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pacers | 74c | 3,333$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.58 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Pacers | 76c | 3,280$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.32 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers | 42c | 3,026$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 3,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…a03abacked Heat | 1c | 3,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pacers | 54c | 2,952$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.83 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Pacers | 46c | 2,876$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.75 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Heat | 53c | 2,850$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.48 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Pacers | 67c | 2,391$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.08 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Pacers | 46c | 2,298$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.93 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Heat | 53c | 2,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Heat | 53c | 1,876$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…c63ebacked Heat | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8e2fbacked Heat | 54c | 1,691$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.98 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Heat | 54c | 1,611$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb573…7abdbacked Pacers | 47c | 1,592$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…defdbacked Heat | 54c | 1,592$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Heat | 24c | 1,553$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.33 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Heat | 41c | 1,410$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…43b2backed Pacers | 46c | 1,323$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.41 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Pacers | 47c | 1,280$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…b291backed Heat | 54c | 1,261$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1663…9731backed Pacers | 47c | 1,261$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pacers | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Pacers | 77c | 1,176$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.82 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Pacers | 43c | 1,161$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.77 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Pacers | 57c | 1,158$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.63 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Pacers | 46c | 1,124$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.13 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Pacers | 70c | 1,120$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.3 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Heat | 55c | 1,032$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.81 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Heat | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Heat | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Heat | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Heat | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Heat | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…86babacked Pacers | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…83f1backed Heat | 57c | 883.87$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pacers | 46c | 861.09$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.35 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Pacers | 70c | 860$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 3c | 842.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Pacers | 43c | 833.99$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.38 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pacers | 46c | 800$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Pacers | 71c | 722.41$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.96 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb7…1f0abacked Heat | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Heat | 56c | 696.39$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Pacers | 44c | 696.39$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.98 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pacers | 45c | 664.98$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.89 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Heat | 46c | 659.63$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.43 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Pacers | 47c | 650$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…8ca0backed Pacers | 45c | 639.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…6d6cbacked Heat | 52c | 638.9$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers | 66c | 615.92$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.41 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Pacers | 74c | 606.33$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…a075backed Heat | 54c | 601.85$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pacers | 46c | 599.98$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.99 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pacers | 46c | 594$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.76 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…6345backed Heat | 55c | 581.82$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Heat | 52c | 550$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Pacers | 46c | 514$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.56 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Heat | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…8b15backed Heat | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Pacers | 44c | 499.96$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Heat | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…9d39backed Pacers | 52c | 440.32$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.32 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72a…582dbacked Pacers | 47c | 435.53$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bd…c92dbacked Pacers | 48c | 434.27$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.82 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Heat | 52c | 429.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.6 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Pacers | 46c | 415.64$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.8 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Heat | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Pacers | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…5f84backed Heat | 54c | 372.4$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.2 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.35per pick | 42cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.