TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Warriors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Warriorsof 76ers, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$406,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$432,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 500 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38a…8d26backed Warriors61c99,999$60,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,999.655253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked 76ers39c92,733$36,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,165.979952.5%52 W · 47 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed 76ers16c76,561$12,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,391.111842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed 76ers40c14,417$5,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,730.9325138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58e6…2c48backed 76ers0c12,890$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.734010%4 W · 36 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-60.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb511…01dabacked Warriors80c12,283$9,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.953663.9%23 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8258…f208backed 76ers41c11,124$4,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,526.957032.9%23 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Warriors58c8,681$5,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,654.099250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers22c8,184$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.731,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked 76ers5c6,200$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31826235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked 76ers1c5,100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.81,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb370…0cb0backed 76ers38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9006450%32 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Warriors62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9009557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Warriors61c4,615$2,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.058561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe727…a39cbacked 76ers1c4,511$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7665726%171 W · 486 L+2.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors60c4,010$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.991,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Warriors79c3,454$2,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.4529738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Warriors73c3,247$2,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.723467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9483…39b2backed Warriors74c3,165$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.556863.2%43 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed 76ers41c2,793$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.3133752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf74…c136backed 76ers0c2,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102924.1%7 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick16cpaid+135.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked 76ers44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9937954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d08…0080backed 76ers39c2,400$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9315330.2%16 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked 76ers40c2,135$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.2485347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed 76ers1c2,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea0d…821cbacked 76ers38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7606642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked 76ers30c1,786$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.4237831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Warriors65c1,725$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.5536843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors58c1,720$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.265642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked 76ers40c1,709$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.750245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x589e…c63ebacked Warriors59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.923956.4%22 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfae…30a3backed Warriors59c1,593$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+104.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed 76ers24c1,500$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3591,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Warriors60c1,428$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.4112563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors78c1,416$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.343,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed 76ers36c1,369$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.9223248.7%113 W · 119 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48e…8f7dbacked 76ers6c1,310$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.861136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe23…ea54backed 76ers41c1,293$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked 76ers17c1,263$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21014852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Warriors75c1,257$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.517141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Warriors58c1,201$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.637448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked 76ers32c1,200$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38416341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…e717backed 76ers28c1,162$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.595532.7%18 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Warriors63c1,117$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.4615558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Warriors79c1,114$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.231,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc206…e084backed Warriors59c1,100$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.971154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc923…5a59backed 76ers15c1,024$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23b1…8e10backed Warriors79c1,002$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.568937.1%33 W · 56 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Warriors62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38013857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Warriors58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Warriors56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c44…5e3fbacked 76ers41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Warriors63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x444e…01d0backed Warriors60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa213…b945backed 76ers15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b1…aaadbacked 76ers13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-57.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed 76ers2c991.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed 76ers15c917.78$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7339843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed 76ers13c878.12$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1523835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked 76ers26c760$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3118628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Warriors77c718.94$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3916261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed 76ers23c699.99$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1581,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked Warriors59c677.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.977060%42 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors61c647.77$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.4773051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed 76ers2c620.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.411,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked 76ers42c595.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25033638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed 76ers25c553.49$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6925957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Warriors56c510.84$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.7734852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a6…95d3backed 76ers21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked 76ers42c499.97$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.3229148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed 76ers41c499.92$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9775347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Warriors55c447.19$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.2448137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc25…d781backed 76ers42c427$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.341250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Warriors75c404.55$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0830648.7%149 W · 157 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed 76ers25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Warriors62c399.99$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15226049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Warriors77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6145135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Warriors77c372.26$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.457450%37 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0ca…a4b4backed 76ers24c370$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked 76ers31c354.09$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8919452.1%101 W · 93 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Warriors56c350$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15425651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1f…c855backed Warriors63c350$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.51735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers43c349.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.372,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed Warriors56c344.81$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7216160.9%98 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked 76ers38c342.24$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5372341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed 76ers40c336.65$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0147948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked 76ers17c335.67$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710921.1%23 W · 86 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb5b1…d2e6backed 76ers26c333.85$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.83724.3%9 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-44%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Warriors62c333$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5420245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked Warriors59c327$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.071838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd1d…b57fbacked 76ers16c314.23$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6612131.4%38 W · 83 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Warriors59c311.93$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8912033.3%40 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed 76ers25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7576850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed 76ers18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5431125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed 76ers26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7818437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked 76ers40c299.94$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9813341.4%55 W · 78 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2530…8a01backed 76ers44c281.95$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.091540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29e4…252fbacked 76ers41c276$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.161560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7385…f377backed 76ers11c274.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Warriors75c263.8$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.631,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.