NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfe5321adb4629d2d640cb8d7d69a333c42917808af6e401ec28b6a170c3b27a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $736,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $867,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $736,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 676 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Bucks | 51c | 220,117$112,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,203.92 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 45c | 55,616$24,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,998.32 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pacers | 49c | 55,152$27,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,210.97 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers | 47c | 28,087$13,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,244.55 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…1674backed Pacers | 4c | 22,917$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.71 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Pacers | 77c | 20,696$15,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,914.36 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Pacers | 67c | 17,651$11,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,855.2 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Pacers | 48c | 17,513$8,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,447.44 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Bucks | 59c | 13,890$8,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,697.97 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Bucks | 53c | 11,269$5,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.55 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…7484backed Pacers | 48c | 9,997$4,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,798.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe08…4318backed Bucks | 52c | 9,987$5,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,793.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c2…412cbacked Pacers | 47c | 9,133$4,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,292.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Pacers | 45c | 9,035$4,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,065.65 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Pacers | 28c | 7,773$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.82 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Pacers | 49c | 7,270$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,538.77 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe423…2492backed Bucks | 53c | 5,277$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Bucks | 53c | 4,717$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.17 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Bucks | 38c | 4,483$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.62 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Pacers | 60c | 4,429$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.5 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Pacers | 52c | 4,286$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Pacers | 42c | 4,000$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Pacers | 45c | 3,968$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…94d9backed Pacers | 0c | 3,866$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Bucks | 55c | 3,757$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.51 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Pacers | 44c | 3,600$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pacers | 48c | 3,466$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.45 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…15d2backed Bucks | 53c | 3,317$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers | 37c | 3,058$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.06 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pacers | 45c | 3,053$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.11 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Pacers | 48c | 2,783$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.74 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Pacers | 36c | 2,436$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.41 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Bucks | 56c | 2,222$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.91 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Pacers | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Bucks | 65c | 2,063$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.05 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Pacers | 55c | 2,038$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.65 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Pacers | 58c | 2,000$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.64 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bucks | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.93 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0939…9a00backed Bucks | 53c | 1,882$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Bucks | 54c | 1,863$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.68 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Bucks | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…83f1backed Bucks | 56c | 1,779$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.44 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pacers | 3c | 1,702$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…14dfbacked Pacers | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba02…e42bbacked Bucks | 54c | 1,300$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.51 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.31per pick | 38cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers | 49c | 1,238$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.53 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe6…2255backed Pacers | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…86babacked Bucks | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…c63ebacked Pacers | 49c | 1,147$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Pacers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pacers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa213…b945backed Bucks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0f…7305backed Pacers | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Pacers | 46c | 984.43$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.1 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Bucks | 68c | 979.47$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.47 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Bucks | 40c | 966.95$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.46 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Bucks | 53c | 942.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.77 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 54c | 905.95$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.83 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Bucks | 56c | 891.36$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.2 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Pacers | 48c | 890.62$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.93 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…388ebacked Pacers | 47c | 861.45$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.88 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…b2a6backed Bucks | 53c | 859.75$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pacers | 46c | 859.68$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.45 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Bucks | 58c | 859.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.04 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pacers | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Pacers | 44c | 794.83$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.21 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Bucks | 56c | 767.57$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.77 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31d…b155backed Pacers | 42c | 750$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f2…c7f2backed Bucks | 58c | 749.93$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pacers | 2c | 687$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Pacers | 53c | 668.72$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Bucks | 47c | 645.06$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.06 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pacers | 47c | 640.43$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Bucks | 47c | 640$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.2 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed Pacers | 48c | 627.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pacers | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1b…753cbacked Bucks | 53c | 554.72$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225e…385fbacked Pacers | 48c | 554.17$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bucks | 48c | 554.15$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.22 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Pacers | 65c | 477.65$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bucks | 52c | 456.31$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.75 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Pacers | 61c | 430.05$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.04 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…8c35backed Bucks | 54c | 414.93$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…655fbacked Pacers | 50c | 414$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Pacers | 49c | 411.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Pacers | 19c | 408.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pacers | 53c | 376.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Bucks | 53c | 375.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.74 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc522…5173backed Pacers | 48c | 366.04$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…39e2backed Bucks | 53c | 366.04$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bf…7851backed Pacers | 71c | 365.02$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Bucks | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…07ffbacked Pacers | 48c | 345.83$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d3…212fbacked Bucks | 53c | 345.28$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Pacers | 58c | 345.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.18 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Pacers | 75c | 336.03$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.02 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Bucks | 38c | 335.77$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.18 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.