TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Bulls, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$723,503
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$845,201

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $723,503 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 601 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2317…c891backed Bulls50c75,807$38,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,667.7411842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x400d…5624backed Bulls67c39,272$26,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,032.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Hornets35c26,567$9,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,176.7425138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets43c23,552$10,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,033.943,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Hornets38c16,909$6,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,431.4261532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hornets36c16,532$6,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,001.4965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x872d…d08cbacked Bulls65c14,906$9,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,217.121145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…7094backed Bulls58c12,187$7,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,103.121963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Bulls55c9,225$5,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,150.997248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Hornets30c8,214$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.921723.5%51 W · 166 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Hornets35c7,924$2,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,776.7470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Bulls74c7,742$5,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.8411459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets34c7,567$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,541.511,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e6…cc3abacked Bulls67c5,896$3,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.032365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets1c5,600$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Hornets0c5,600$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Bulls64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Bulls66c4,869$3,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.6114039.3%55 W · 85 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Bulls64c4,625$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6658561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Hornets33c4,588$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.1811656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Hornets38c4,053$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.136253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Hornets24c3,735$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.6116919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets34c3,197$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.2877745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c4…fd3fbacked Hornets0c2,952$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.760%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets33c2,876$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.2596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets37c2,837$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.151,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd67…4123backed Bulls65c2,800$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Bulls68c2,790$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.8227041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hornets34c2,294$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.2973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets37c2,268$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.331,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Bulls64c2,205$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.9336748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Hornets29c2,115$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.5615947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Hornets29c2,035$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.119231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5df…b469backed Bulls75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaed…de05backed Hornets35c1,757$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Hornets32c1,660$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.9417141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Hornets43c1,654$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.2461345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd07f…6c05backed Hornets40c1,517$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.754025%10 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68b0…c482backed Bulls60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6004440.9%18 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Hornets34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9937954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Bulls73c1,496$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.2310921.1%23 W · 86 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Hornets35c1,408$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.3637448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x243c…409cbacked Bulls67c1,360$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82e7…cce0backed Hornets34c1,348$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.3330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Bulls68c1,302$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.6613140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Hornets1c1,250$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd16e…cc30backed Hornets40c1,209$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-74.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e8…6022backed Bulls60c1,209$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets41c1,178$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.111,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59ef…0a27backed Hornets36c1,089$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3922556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2f…746cbacked Bulls65c1,088$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.69742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Bulls64c1,075$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.0723248.7%113 W · 119 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa667…84febacked Hornets32c1,074$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.661936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f17…84bbbacked Bulls66c1,062$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3988…c78cbacked Hornets36c1,056$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets31c1,048$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.431,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913a…4689backed Hornets35c1,039$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Bulls70c1,028$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.046160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c5f…19bcbacked Bulls47c1,000$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5321145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+38.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bulls68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Hornets33c983.12$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.433839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Bulls63c950$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.536843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0baf…e09ebacked Bulls66c908.18$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.781361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick75cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69f5…9328backed Hornets40c869.93$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb83f…0917backed Bulls60c869.93$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.97757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Hornets36c849.99$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.7517243%74 W · 98 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Bulls65c837.38$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.7625957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30bc…2529backed Hornets38c820$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.486744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Bulls68c817.65$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.653467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Bulls49c811.74$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.0231935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Bulls60c755.63$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.6345135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Bulls67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2734852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Bulls55c709.43$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.2453134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6753…7340backed Hornets6c701.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.794344.2%19 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hornets8c699$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.081,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe7a…3ef4backed Bulls65c692.49$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.49650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4483…46d2backed Hornets36c691.67$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2493053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+74%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Hornets35c675.16$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.6947948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0f…7305backed Bulls66c650.97$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.33944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98f0…1af3backed Bulls65c650.56$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc88…681abacked Hornets42c649.92$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2762142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Hornets46c620.65$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.570951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Hornets49c613.48$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.617352.1%38 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Hornets35c613.39$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.0285347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Bulls61c599.23$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.751,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Bulls67c597.53$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5325865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Hornets35c597.07$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21016825.6%43 W · 125 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x843e…e785backed Bulls61c594.14$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.141154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Bulls60c587$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.4522955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eed…0c9abacked Bulls52c583.78$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.381435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54c2…e299backed Hornets41c576.29$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2372254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3add…11b5backed Hornets38c576.09$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.592334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Hornets32c546.61$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6739843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets39c531.55$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.31,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc70…ad54backed Bulls62c529.29$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.13683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcbd…a594backed Hornets38c529.29$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0715…b17bbacked Bulls62c520.16$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.66742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bac…9ddabacked Hornets38c520.16$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7273…5424backed Hornets33c520$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Hornets34c509.83$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3427546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.