CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs ex-Vexa - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x583e526750bd1925b9279b79a7b1db6ab6c2a97350fd939d08e3339c48f8a26a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Vexaof Fake do Biru, ex-Vexa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ex-Vexa | 69c | 3,049$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.35 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Fake do Biru | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Fake do Biru | 38c | 1,948$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.91 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ex-Vexa | 57c | 1,782$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.7 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ex-Vexa | 54c | 1,124$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.19 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fake do Biru | 39c | 1,001$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.8 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Fake do Biru | 23c | 994.18$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.93 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fake do Biru | 14c | 954.97$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Fake do Biru | 50c | 901.38$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.25 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fake do Biru | 25c | 843.46$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.79 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ex-Vexa | 53c | 825.54$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.36 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked ex-Vexa | 66c | 699.24$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.17 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fake do Biru | 42c | 672.23$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.72 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed ex-Vexa | 51c | 609.97$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.89 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Fake do Biru | 57c | 582.72$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.81 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed ex-Vexa | 66c | 457.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.58 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fake do Biru | 24c | 438.94$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-Vexa | 65c | 415.31$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.56 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed ex-Vexa | 21c | 400$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Fake do Biru | 50c | 370$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.84 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fake do Biru | 67c | 330.93$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.52 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Fake do Biru | 27c | 325.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked ex-Vexa | 53c | 304.56$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.24 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed ex-Vexa | 35c | 276.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.25 | 147 | 49.7%73 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ex-Vexa | 36c | 269.67$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.59 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed ex-Vexa | 40c | 255.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.28 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fake do Biru | 55c | 240$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Fake do Biru | 66c | 229.71$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.14 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Fake do Biru | 50c | 201.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fake do Biru | 34c | 189.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ex-Vexa | 35c | 187.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.62 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked Fake do Biru | 58c | 172.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ex-Vexa | 27c | 165.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.09 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fake do Biru | 55c | 137.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Fake do Biru | 60c | 120.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Fake do Biru | 50c | 113.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Fake do Biru | 42c | 112.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Fake do Biru | 75c | 108$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-Vexa | 45c | 101.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Fake do Biru | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Fake do Biru | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-Vexa | 50c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Fake do Biru | 45c | 92.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked ex-Vexa | 26c | 90.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked ex-Vexa | 47c | 90.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Fake do Biru | 52c | 86.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked ex-Vexa | 53c | 83.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Fake do Biru | 55c | 82.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked ex-Vexa | 32c | 80.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fe…311abacked ex-Vexa | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e63…e021backed Fake do Biru | 62c | 78.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fake do Biru | 73c | 74.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-Vexa | 49c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Fake do Biru | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd472…8cf9backed Fake do Biru | 79c | 62.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed ex-Vexa | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed ex-Vexa | 28c | 58.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed ex-Vexa | 45c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed ex-Vexa | 56c | 50.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ex-Vexa | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed ex-Vexa | 74c | 35.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed ex-Vexa | 66c | 30.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…cb55backed Fake do Biru | 69c | 29.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…91f7backed Fake do Biru | 49c | 25.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 165 | 38.8%64 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Fake do Biru | 52c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Fake do Biru | 45c | 22.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Fake do Biru | 52c | 22.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Fake do Biru | 50c | 20.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-Vexa | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Fake do Biru | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…6d22backed Fake do Biru | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Fake do Biru | 77c | 13.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs ex-Vexa - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs ex-Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs ex-Vexa - Map 1 WinnerFake do Biru won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FDB (-1.5) vs ex-Vexa (+1.5)ex-Vexa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.