CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs ex-Vexa - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd76f0994e150f954bf0ce8071f28a791cef84936b3ce1e478bca46927e588dd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof Fake do Biru, ex-Vexa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Fake do Biru | 75c | 4,136$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.58 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed ex-Vexa | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-Vexa | 26c | 1,656$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.43 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed ex-Vexa | 31c | 1,301$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.75 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Fake do Biru | 78c | 1,214$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.23 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fake do Biru | 74c | 1,072$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.46 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked ex-Vexa | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.85 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed ex-Vexa | 17c | 974.17$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.7 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed ex-Vexa | 20c | 631$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.61 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed ex-Vexa | 20c | 613.57$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.97 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fake do Biru | 74c | 592.43$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.08 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-Vexa | 24c | 533.68$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed ex-Vexa | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-Vexa | 21c | 448$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked ex-Vexa | 25c | 426$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.47 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fake do Biru | 76c | 404.56$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-Vexa | 25c | 402$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed ex-Vexa | 25c | 400.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed ex-Vexa | 24c | 390.66$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-Vexa | 25c | 369$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-Vexa | 25c | 369$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked ex-Vexa | 25c | 360.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.83 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked ex-Vexa | 25c | 350$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fake do Biru | 79c | 329.63$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fake do Biru | 70c | 327.13$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed ex-Vexa | 17c | 321.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-Vexa | 24c | 300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked ex-Vexa | 19c | 295.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Fake do Biru | 78c | 262.13$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed ex-Vexa | 12c | 210$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed ex-Vexa | 13c | 190.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked ex-Vexa | 17c | 185.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fake do Biru | 75c | 174.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed ex-Vexa | 24c | 154.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Fake do Biru | 78c | 142.9$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked Fake do Biru | 78c | 136.2$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Vexa | 29c | 127$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…8cafbacked ex-Vexa | 21c | 125.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed ex-Vexa | 25c | 120.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-Vexa | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…18ffbacked ex-Vexa | 23c | 79.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Fake do Biru | 73c | 76.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked ex-Vexa | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked ex-Vexa | 22c | 70.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked ex-Vexa | 24c | 64.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed ex-Vexa | 21c | 59.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Fake do Biru | 72c | 35.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Fake do Biru | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…85f0backed Fake do Biru | 79c | 14.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs ex-Vexa - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs ex-Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs ex-Vexa - Map 2 Winnerex-Vexa won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FDB (-1.5) vs ex-Vexa (+1.5)ex-Vexa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.