NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fae1365d4733ef6d06d1b7964f947582a8591c34100ba94470438fc1526fcb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Kings, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $707,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $744,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $707,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Kings | 2c | 141,690$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.86 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Kings | 7c | 58,000$4,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Kings | 41c | 36,322$14,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,838.77 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 30c | 30,206$9,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,069.11 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Lakers | 47c | 27,030$12,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,395.34 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Kings | 53c | 19,845$10,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,508.67 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings | 55c | 14,034$7,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,669.6 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Kings | 2c | 12,134$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.1 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…135cbacked Lakers | 43c | 11,583$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,582.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…fcf9backed Lakers | 59c | 10,008$5,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,103.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9b10backed Kings | 41c | 10,002$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Kings | 43c | 8,454$3,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,616.46 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 44c | 8,095$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Lakers | 61c | 8,006$4,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.2 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 62c | 7,404$4,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.17 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…3e00backed Lakers | 69c | 7,403$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.29 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5c…57fcbacked Lakers | 41c | 6,782$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,021.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…0848backed Lakers | 50c | 5,548$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Lakers | 58c | 5,545$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.19 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Kings | 59c | 4,878$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878.01 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 47c | 4,545$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Lakers | 44c | 4,268$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.09 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 8c | 4,210$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.78 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 2c | 4,176$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Lakers | 69c | 4,162$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.19 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lakers | 57c | 3,675$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.04 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Lakers | 44c | 3,647$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.64 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Kings | 1c | 2,979$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Kings | 52c | 2,821$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.91 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Lakers | 40c | 2,749$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.56 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Kings | 55c | 2,736$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.58 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Kings | 55c | 2,709$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.63 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Kings | 51c | 2,442$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.62 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Lakers | 51c | 2,300$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Lakers | 62c | 2,056$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.83 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…1f1ebacked Lakers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Kings | 54c | 1,842$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.51 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6cf0backed Kings | 60c | 1,803$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Kings | 3c | 1,653$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 52c | 1,620$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.44 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kings | 52c | 1,619$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.25 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Lakers | 53c | 1,603$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.56 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Lakers | 49c | 1,520$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.75 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Kings | 8c | 1,518$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Lakers | 54c | 1,401$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.03 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 75c | 1,306$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.84 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Lakers | 57c | 1,305$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.76 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Lakers | 50c | 1,285$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.73 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Lakers | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…4a75backed Kings | 45c | 1,244$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Lakers | 57c | 1,244$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.73 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Kings | 55c | 1,049$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.47 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…4876backed Lakers | 41c | 980$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Lakers | 40c | 972.28$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.22 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Kings | 50c | 933.82$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.91 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Lakers | 52c | 882.69$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.02 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…327fbacked Kings | 55c | 870$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b7…cd0bbacked Lakers | 46c | 870$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Lakers | 53c | 857.38$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.57 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…45bbbacked Kings | 40c | 853.48$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lakers | 48c | 849.99$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 4c | 842.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2758…66e1backed Kings | 50c | 840$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa483…c2b6backed Lakers | 52c | 834.74$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Kings | 52c | 814.69$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.59 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Lakers | 37c | 810.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.31 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers | 39c | 800$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…a89ebacked Lakers | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…2b5fbacked Kings | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Kings | 48c | 770.34$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.43 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…47cfbacked Kings | 9c | 767.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…4acbbacked Lakers | 42c | 755.55$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.75 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Lakers | 79c | 719.1$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.01 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Lakers | 78c | 677.73$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…3405backed Lakers | 53c | 659.06$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Lakers | 50c | 601.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.24 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4282…9e7dbacked Kings | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…c405backed Lakers | 69c | 599.55$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.12 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db6…527abacked Kings | 5c | 583.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Lakers | 49c | 554.98$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.7 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Kings | 9c | 550$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Kings | 51c | 540$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.35 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…8a3ebacked Lakers | 39c | 512.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.77 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Kings | 50c | 503$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.64 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lakers | 55c | 500.07$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.03 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lakers | 54c | 500$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.16 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Kings | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Lakers | 55c | 470.67$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.43 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Lakers | 39c | 464$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…dc84backed Kings | 15c | 460$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…fc70backed Kings | 51c | 449.8$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091c…1600backed Lakers | 67c | 449.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Kings | 57c | 433$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.81 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Kings | 51c | 425$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.95 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Lakers | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Kings | 51c | 405$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.27 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 33c | 369.71$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.01 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…c482backed Lakers | 49c | 367.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.35 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.