NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Chiefs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6ea0a571a43a122471e1c7604d6bd8c267082a39758bdd8162dbfae0cd8d137
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chiefsof Texans, Chiefs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,234,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,464,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,234,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 918 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Texans | 30c | 114,407$34,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,702.39 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Chiefs | 67c | 85,784$57,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,510.81 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Texans | 36c | 84,097$29,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,854.56 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Texans | 35c | 81,035$28,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,191.44 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Chiefs | 65c | 78,162$51,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,054.65 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Chiefs | 64c | 72,014$46,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,602.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…0cedbacked Chiefs | 66c | 59,459$39,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,940.98 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Texans | 37c | 51,982$19,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,055.35 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Texans | 31c | 47,924$15,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,083.82 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd54a…47b8backed Texans | 31c | 46,797$14,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,712.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Texans | 35c | 46,723$16,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,471.01 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Chiefs | 67c | 40,000$26,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,250 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Texans | 22c | 31,184$6,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,901.56 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Texans | 36c | 26,520$9,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,418.77 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Chiefs | 72c | 21,744$15,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,185.38 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Chiefs | 65c | 15,227$9,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,329.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked Texans | 1c | 13,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Texans | 48c | 12,769$6,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,123.18 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Texans | 36c | 12,722$4,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,579.84 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Texans | 31c | 10,839$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.83 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Chiefs | 65c | 9,000$5,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,129.97 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…68f3backed Texans | 37c | 8,086$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Texans | 35c | 7,890$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.46 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Texans | 1c | 6,655$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Texans | 37c | 6,262$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.56 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…1ad2backed Texans | 29c | 5,768$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.44 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…824abacked Chiefs | 73c | 5,745$4,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.11 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Texans | 36c | 5,601$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.48 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Texans | 17c | 5,249$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.16 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…a74dbacked Texans | 37c | 5,051$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f9…3c97backed Chiefs | 64c | 4,688$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Chiefs | 65c | 4,605$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.78 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Texans | 26c | 4,416$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.05 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…3d0cbacked Chiefs | 64c | 4,375$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Texans | 30c | 4,185$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Chiefs | 64c | 4,035$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.34 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Texans | 36c | 3,801$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.31 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Texans | 37c | 3,730$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.99 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Texans | 32c | 3,403$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.85 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…ff35backed Chiefs | 79c | 3,301$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.67 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Chiefs | 63c | 3,279$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.35 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Chiefs | 45c | 3,224$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.44 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Chiefs | 64c | 3,147$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.29 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…1b90backed Texans | 13c | 3,140$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Chiefs | 66c | 2,985$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.86 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Chiefs | 53c | 2,916$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.39 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Texans | 27c | 2,896$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.29 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…a0fdbacked Chiefs | 65c | 2,892$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Texans | 1c | 2,724$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Texans | 35c | 2,705$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.58 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Chiefs | 77c | 2,607$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Chiefs | 45c | 2,485$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.65 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Texans | 42c | 2,405$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Chiefs | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.75 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Texans | 40c | 2,322$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.61 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Chiefs | 68c | 2,313$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.07 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Texans | 31c | 2,180$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.19 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Chiefs | 65c | 2,168$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.69 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Texans | 36c | 2,167$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3ab2backed Chiefs | 65c | 2,159$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.82 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Texans | 25c | 2,124$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.76 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Texans | 49c | 2,046$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Texans | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Texans | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Texans | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.97 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Texans | 29c | 1,987$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.52 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…0c1abacked Chiefs | 65c | 1,962$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.14 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Chiefs | 46c | 1,940$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.44 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaba…8e59backed Texans | 36c | 1,897$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Texans | 36c | 1,800$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.99 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Texans | 17c | 1,733$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.67 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Chiefs | 64c | 1,719$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.75 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Chiefs | 65c | 1,557$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.77 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Chiefs | 69c | 1,557$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.24 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Chiefs | 68c | 1,495$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.43 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Texans | 27c | 1,344$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.81 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -70%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…d644backed Chiefs | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Chiefs | 72c | 1,233$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.74 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Chiefs | 66c | 1,209$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Texans | 34c | 1,184$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.93 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Chiefs | 70c | 1,171$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…117fbacked Texans | 3c | 1,149$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Texans | 3c | 1,116$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 142 | 15.5%22 W · 120 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…b624backed Texans | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Chiefs | 66c | 1,050$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.5 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Texans | 2c | 1,028$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…12f8backed Chiefs | 78c | 1,014$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Chiefs | 77c | 1,009$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.16 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Texans | 27c | 1,000$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.73 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Chiefs | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…0bfdbacked Texans | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Texans | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…58f0backed Texans | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Chiefs | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Texans | 15c | 967.53$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.13 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c93…a26dbacked Texans | 10c | 957.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Texans | 36c | 919.23$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Texans | 22c | 849.67$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.64 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dd…5291backed Chiefs | 62c | 841.98$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.95 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d7…8adcbacked Chiefs | 65c | 834.22$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.98 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.