NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfd380aff2b673cfbba39b9e8d5b95d7148f7255540663a0578ab49c8d74487d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $385,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $438,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 412 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Warriors | 11c | 69,932$7,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,944.66 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Warriors | 0c | 45,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x872d…d08cbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 19,895$11,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,957.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 38c | 13,644$5,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,148.3 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Warriors | 39c | 12,799$4,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,984.35 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Warriors | 37c | 10,727$3,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,938.06 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…b199backed Warriors | 2c | 9,514$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.73 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Warriors | 15c | 7,295$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.27 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 6,833$4,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.05 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Warriors | 18c | 5,310$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.78 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Cavaliers | 62c | 4,625$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.39 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors | 38c | 4,100$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.24 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0939…9a00backed Warriors | 38c | 3,955$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 3,500$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.07 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Cavaliers | 61c | 3,456$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.84 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Warriors | 2c | 2,980$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Cavaliers | 79c | 2,287$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.11 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Cavaliers | 72c | 1,825$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.24 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Cavaliers | 63c | 1,755$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.46 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Cavaliers | 63c | 1,719$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.34 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Cavaliers | 61c | 1,670$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.49 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba02…e42bbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 1,664$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.88 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.31per pick | 38cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa483…c2b6backed Warriors | 38c | 1,660$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Warriors | 40c | 1,640$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Cavaliers | 62c | 1,606$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.09 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 1,544$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.66 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Cavaliers | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Warriors | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Cavaliers | 63c | 1,421$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.29 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Cavaliers | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.59 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Warriors | 43c | 1,342$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.19 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 1,300$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Cavaliers | 79c | 1,237$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.68 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Cavaliers | 65c | 1,216$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.18 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Warriors | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 64c | 1,137$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.6 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 1,127$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.21 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Warriors | 27c | 1,115$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.22 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…c63ebacked Warriors | 36c | 1,103$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Warriors | 28c | 1,059$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.1 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…5e3fbacked Cavaliers | 65c | 1,054$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Cavaliers | 61c | 1,022$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.53 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Warriors | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Warriors | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Cavaliers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…f630backed Warriors | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Warriors | 36c | 999.96$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.65 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Warriors | 30c | 999.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Cavaliers | 65c | 930.43$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.43 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 37c | 888.88$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.11 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Warriors | 35c | 846.98$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.61 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Cavaliers | 63c | 846.03$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.03 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Warriors | 23c | 729.46$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.78 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…b9e5backed Warriors | 28c | 701.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Warriors | 2c | 695$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…99eabacked Warriors | 40c | 662.86$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Cavaliers | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 40c | 619.58$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.27 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Warriors | 39c | 590.66$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Cavaliers | 65c | 568.07$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.93 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Warriors | 3c | 523.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Cavaliers | 59c | 520.88$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.68 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b7…9a3cbacked Warriors | 23c | 505.42$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 500$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Warriors | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…d00fbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…f21ebacked Warriors | 36c | 499.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Cavaliers | 61c | 488.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.28 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Cavaliers | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Cavaliers | 74c | 475.74$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 474.96$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.49 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…30c4backed Cavaliers | 77c | 469.08$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Warriors | 22c | 460$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cavaliers | 71c | 419.48$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.65 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Cavaliers | 61c | 400.01$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.67 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers | 65c | 400$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Cavaliers | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Warriors | 35c | 395.4$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.23 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Warriors | 39c | 382.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7036…cbb9backed Warriors | 40c | 371.28$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Warriors | 38c | 356.36$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.07 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…e512backed Cavaliers | 63c | 336.25$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Cavaliers | 64c | 331.82$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…adacbacked Warriors | 15c | 322.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 322.25$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…83f1backed Cavaliers | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Cavaliers | 65c | 307.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cavaliers | 63c | 302.35$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.35 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Cavaliers | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…4f95backed Warriors | 33c | 298.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Warriors | 31c | 291.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 298 | 44%131 W · 167 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Cavaliers | 65c | 290$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 286.95$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…b1adbacked Warriors | 38c | 280$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4976…81ecbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 279.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Warriors | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7095…b7b9backed Cavaliers | 63c | 256.56$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.