NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc86edd5afcd6be49f4add4e3e66756e71e65221845c3e5485213f4aee7f495c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $467,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $487,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Spurs | 53c | 33,245$17,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,733.44 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Nuggets | 58c | 31,000$18,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,969.99 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Spurs | 41c | 25,780$10,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,597.79 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Spurs | 42c | 23,920$10,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,055.53 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Nuggets | 58c | 15,630$9,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,564.53 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…0848backed Spurs | 44c | 14,231$6,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,243.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Nuggets | 64c | 13,534$8,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,891.91 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Spurs | 43c | 10,000$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Nuggets | 58c | 8,758$5,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,678.41 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Spurs | 42c | 8,575$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.34 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Nuggets | 46c | 7,645$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.15 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Spurs | 42c | 7,500$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets | 41c | 7,439$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,389.61 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 56c | 7,095$3,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,948.9 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs | 31c | 6,743$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.61 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Spurs | 37c | 6,269$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.35 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Nuggets | 60c | 6,000$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Nuggets | 56c | 5,387$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.29 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Spurs | 35c | 5,340$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.47 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Nuggets | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nuggets | 58c | 4,772$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.41 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Spurs | 43c | 4,610$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Nuggets | 58c | 4,577$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.21 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Nuggets | 69c | 3,773$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.7 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Nuggets | 58c | 3,430$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.38 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Nuggets | 55c | 3,347$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.17 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 46c | 3,107$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.98 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Nuggets | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nuggets | 56c | 2,912$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.12 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Spurs | 36c | 2,848$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.48 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Nuggets | 68c | 2,719$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.74 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Nuggets | 58c | 2,716$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.28 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…11d0backed Nuggets | 68c | 2,537$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 2,528$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.65 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,461$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.52 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 57c | 2,135$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.46 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Spurs | 3c | 2,116$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Spurs | 49c | 1,967$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.3 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Spurs | 80c | 1,737$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.14 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Spurs | 41c | 1,700$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.97 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Nuggets | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.26 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,481$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.31 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9875…25f1backed Spurs | 75c | 1,477$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Spurs | 34c | 1,472$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.49 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Spurs | 66c | 1,369$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfff8…d95bbacked Nuggets | 61c | 1,300$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Spurs | 51c | 1,250$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.5 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Spurs | 64c | 1,236$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.67 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nuggets | 44c | 1,212$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.72 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…a969backed Nuggets | 58c | 1,132$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b35…67b4backed Spurs | 44c | 1,132$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…efefbacked Nuggets | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…62c8backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,060$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.4 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Spurs | 44c | 1,031$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Spurs | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Spurs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…823ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Spurs | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…903cbacked Spurs | 42c | 999.95$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…0fbfbacked Spurs | 47c | 978.72$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Nuggets | 58c | 953.93$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.65 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Spurs | 42c | 939.98$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.79 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Nuggets | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…bf6ebacked Spurs | 39c | 920.04$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Spurs | 40c | 900$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aee…4b3fbacked Nuggets | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets | 67c | 836$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.8 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Nuggets | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Spurs | 41c | 745$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.45 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…4322backed Nuggets | 32c | 737.82$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Nuggets | 70c | 716.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.9 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Nuggets | 57c | 706.86$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.95 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Nuggets | 49c | 696.4$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.45 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 43c | 690.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…520bbacked Spurs | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…3092backed Nuggets | 43c | 657.9$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Spurs | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 570.07$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.24 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked Nuggets | 55c | 549.94$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.47 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…ed44backed Nuggets | 40c | 524.41$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Nuggets | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Nuggets | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Spurs | 43c | 505.01$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.2 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Spurs | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Spurs | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Spurs | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Spurs | 70c | 498.3$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.6 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Spurs | 42c | 485.95$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.1 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Nuggets | 47c | 469.6$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.76 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Nuggets | 57c | 465.96$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.22 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Spurs | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Spurs | 39c | 449.28$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.21 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Spurs | 42c | 449.19$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.75 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Nuggets | 55c | 437.93$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.93 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…ad17backed Nuggets | 23c | 432.05$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Spurs | 42c | 428$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.76 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb09…dd9cbacked Spurs | 43c | 405$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.