TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
3DMAXof paiN, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,925

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa4fd…748bbacked paiN61c5,675$3,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,444.683834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked 3DMAX47c5,295$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.2192456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked paiN13c5,151$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.127617.1%13 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked 3DMAX43c3,529$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.373,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked 3DMAX61c3,383$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.219229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX42c3,217$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.834,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked 3DMAX41c2,452$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.372,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked paiN53c2,029$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.3238454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed 3DMAX39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.9933359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f1…5729backed paiN68c1,899$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.557065.7%46 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed paiN18c1,211$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.492,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked paiN60c1,188$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.6175245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed paiN63c1,146$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.615962.9%100 W · 59 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed paiN47c1,135$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.1346345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked 3DMAX36c1,120$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.952,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked paiN52c1,099$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.814,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked 3DMAX40c1,059$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.73,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed paiN54c909.99$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.191,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed paiN53c900$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4778652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed paiN60c897.24$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.3464552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked paiN60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed 3DMAX41c787$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.451,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked paiN62c707.73$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.898052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x765a…5ce4backed 3DMAX38c699.98$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.9914949%73 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked 3DMAX51c661.57$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.0224038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked 3DMAX44c644.15$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.7827548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked paiN51c586.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed 3DMAX37c565$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.9549941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed paiN55c523.05$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2892944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX45c513.89$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.395,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked paiN59c500$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.519857.6%114 W · 84 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde24…e804backed 3DMAX63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1855935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed paiN63c494.69$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31022757.3%130 W · 97 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked 3DMAX39c488.15$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.5648948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked paiN39c482.19$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.444,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed paiN47c458.7$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.426,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked 3DMAX74c429.59$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3463157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked 3DMAX71c425.42$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4246165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed paiN3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1238312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0b9…5699backed 3DMAX54c381.94$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.941631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed paiN61c376.72$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.88252.4%43 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed 3DMAX57c358.79$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7925440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed 3DMAX38c347.79$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.6355738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked 3DMAX40c340.89$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5318043.3%78 W · 102 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked paiN21c326.35$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6713834.8%48 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcece…ffeebacked 3DMAX40c309.27$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5611844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed paiN66c290$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.993261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked paiN55c274.65$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0510457.7%60 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 3DMAX37c271.78$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.112,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed 3DMAX78c262.37$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8724756.7%140 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked 3DMAX32c257.32$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.882040%8 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed paiN60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6277backed 3DMAX40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed paiN61c250$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.552150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed paiN26c235.29$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.862,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed paiN19c219.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.731,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f42…1f72backed paiN58c210$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.523562.9%22 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed 3DMAX47c202.62$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3969445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked 3DMAX49c201.69$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8659839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed paiN61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12217054.7%93 W · 77 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked paiN55c199.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9572353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked 3DMAX71c198.98$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5643152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked paiN61c198.36$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12153034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6421…045dbacked paiN61c196.72$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12016248.1%78 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef1d…3080backed paiN63c193.58$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.513258.3%77 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed paiN6c185.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.122,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked paiN58c179$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8211650%58 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed09…e314backed paiN74c175.03$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked paiN39c173.41$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.662,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdde5…d1acbacked paiN58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked 3DMAX40c162.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1638032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked 3DMAX45c157.13$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6524447.1%115 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed paiN57c149.14$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5562248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fd…9164backed paiN61c147$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.677052.9%37 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed paiN35c142.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040050.8%203 W · 197 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed paiN57c134.49$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.715749.7%78 W · 79 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked paiN61c133$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1325651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf6eb…3156backed paiN35c131.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed paiN34c130.37$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9775438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x737f…10e4backed 3DMAX34c130$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+46.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed 3DMAX47c129$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.582,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked 3DMAX39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2165662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed 3DMAX54c127.27$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0542154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked paiN45c125.72$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.962,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed paiN63c122.92$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9718536.2%67 W · 118 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked paiN54c122.22$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6630236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked paiN39c120$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2463038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed paiN31c108.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7627037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x705c…317dbacked 3DMAX36c107.78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.982623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked 3DMAX36c106$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5640140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked paiN74c104.64$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4333057.3%189 W · 141 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed 3DMAX40c103.53$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1217648.3%85 W · 91 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed paiN36c102.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710646.2%49 W · 57 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f2…11a5backed paiN62c102.26$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633148.4%15 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked paiN60c101.13$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6816250%81 W · 81 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked paiN23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.221536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed paiN54c99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.275,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a80…df6dbacked paiN62c98.29$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9410867.6%73 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed paiN66c95$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.662,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7401…c482backed paiN60c88$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.82951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.