CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x121c0c6fd4e07c03b9fb3576bd826db5aa8c578d161355d0a3e7de3d18abb4db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcece…ffeebacked Over | 59c | 1,002$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.25 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 38c | 997.23$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.22 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a2…c02bbacked Over | 69c | 559.33$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 53c | 402.16$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.51 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Under | 37c | 379.91$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.37 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 47c | 355.9$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.27 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Over | 49c | 307.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 53c | 283$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 51c | 224.17$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…594bbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 47c | 210.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…ae12backed Over | 48c | 209.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 66c | 192.07$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.69 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 142.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 53c | 139.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 33c | 101.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 52c | 77.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 58.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…1d52backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Over | 48c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 55c | 40.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)3DMAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.