TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
3DMAXof paiN, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,266
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,931

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,266 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3da8…80c3backed 3DMAX49c4,000$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.5233359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked 3DMAX70c3,012$2,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.3563157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked paiN14c2,529$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.297617.1%13 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked paiN42c2,426$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.592,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked paiN39c2,021$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.173,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed 3DMAX64c1,886$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.212,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed 3DMAX61c1,808$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.2529449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked 3DMAX72c1,713$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.3638454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed paiN36c1,616$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.261,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcece…ffeebacked 3DMAX55c1,404$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.1311844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked paiN38c1,353$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.792456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed 3DMAX51c1,100$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53943455.1%239 W · 195 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed paiN54c1,089$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.275836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed paiN20c1,014$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.982,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed paiN31c800$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.72,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN52c760$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.27,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed 3DMAX78c750$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16520562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 3DMAX68c742.01$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.561,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN49c702.65$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.742,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked paiN37c620.3$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.974,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x959a…7b64backed 3DMAX61c601$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.061566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked paiN55c597.96$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.5718336.6%67 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed paiN39c570.55$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.4275438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked 3DMAX47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26594645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed 3DMAX48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2609063.3%57 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed 3DMAX51c494$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24346345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked paiN31c486.63$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.172,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed paiN52c473.85$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24625440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed 3DMAX66c469.99$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.293261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765a…5ce4backed 3DMAX58c460.41$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.5614949%73 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed 3DMAX67c460.19$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9618536.2%67 W · 118 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked paiN38c433.21$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.411,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked paiN30c429.5$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6231845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked 3DMAX73c400$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.571,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6277backed 3DMAX68c398.77$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.771050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed 3DMAX61c364.75$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.7522757.3%130 W · 97 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked paiN64c354.68$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.5746165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed 3DMAX74c349.97$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.075048%24 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked paiN31c332.35$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8510454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x737f…10e4backed paiN24c327.63$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+46.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa817…1c3bbacked paiN31c322.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked 3DMAX46c308.69$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1822447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed 3DMAX49c301.63$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6335148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6421…045dbacked 3DMAX70c275.5$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8616248.1%78 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x533d…1eeabacked paiN46c238.91$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked 3DMAX65c229.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4130223.2%70 W · 232 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed 3DMAX50c223.86$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed paiN51c223.75$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1141850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed 3DMAX50c217.52$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5218037.8%68 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed paiN30c214.23$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.826,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed 3DMAX70c213.52$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5224842.3%105 W · 143 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb7…a3cdbacked 3DMAX58c203.82$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.824742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed paiN35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.781,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed 3DMAX70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6054732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed 3DMAX72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7541475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed paiN54c199.44$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.751348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6c…b6d7backed 3DMAX69c198.25$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.467954.4%43 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked 3DMAX63c193.82$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.772,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked 3DMAX64c174$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.822,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed paiN20c172$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.742,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed 3DMAX60c160$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.41,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc62e…2d85backed paiN13c156.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed 3DMAX72c154$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.445646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked 3DMAX64c142.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9172353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c47…2e55backed 3DMAX35c142.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8524047.9%115 W · 125 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed paiN28c141.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9996543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked paiN36c135.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4953034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed paiN51c130.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8137453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed paiN41c125$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.251,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked paiN15c125$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.758960.7%54 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed paiN45c124$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.880740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked paiN17c113.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.313,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed 3DMAX54c113.33$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2813454.5%73 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked paiN24c111$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.161,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed 3DMAX46c110$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.437440.4%151 W · 223 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked paiN47c106$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9540140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked 3DMAX52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4836645.6%167 W · 199 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a4f…914bbacked paiN20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed paiN36c99.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3642831.3%134 W · 294 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed paiN37c99.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3627037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked 3DMAX52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1528935.3%102 W · 187 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed paiN52c89.55$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.594,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cc7…2fd4backed paiN25c88.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.25911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked paiN32c87.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.983,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked 3DMAX60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3365662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed paiN38c82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.22,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x177d…158abacked paiN37c80.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.693250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed paiN53c76.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3519347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked paiN38c76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.562,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked paiN48c75.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5744747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0010…c3a8backed 3DMAX69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4631673.7%233 W · 83 L+23.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed 3DMAX70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4349766.8%332 W · 165 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed paiN23c71.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.631654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked paiN39c70.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6563038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed 3DMAX78c67.82$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8724558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked 3DMAX60c67.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0839847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2c…6990backed paiN30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed 3DMAX59c66.53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2940666.3%269 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9417…bbd3backed 3DMAX45c65.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.956942%29 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed 3DMAX50c61.35$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.424452.3%23 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.