Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Level UP vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad8e858bc4651bf22b7db9bd0feb941e88259a1f0ff90aab029d27dc97373688
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Level UPof Level UP, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Lynx | 44c | 5,810$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.76 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Lynx | 48c | 4,727$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.26 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Level UP | 51c | 4,580$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.4 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Lynx | 41c | 3,797$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.58 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Level UP | 59c | 3,392$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.53 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ea…7668backed Team Lynx | 57c | 2,450$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Team Lynx | 48c | 2,078$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Level UP | 47c | 2,078$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.03 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Team Lynx | 41c | 1,574$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Lynx | 49c | 1,307$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.37 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Team Lynx | 40c | 1,257$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Level UP | 66c | 1,130$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.79 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed Level UP | 55c | 1,050$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.37 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Level UP | 54c | 1,014$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.45 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Level UP | 56c | 1,010$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…91babacked Level UP | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a99…91a9backed Team Lynx | 30c | 949.22$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Level UP | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Level UP | 56c | 797.36$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.7 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Level UP | 57c | 770.41$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.28 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Level UP | 52c | 758.18$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.93 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Level UP | 71c | 726.66$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.26 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Level UP | 42c | 614.22$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.91 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Team Lynx | 30c | 608.07$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.24 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Level UP | 55c | 589.59$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.31 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Level UP | 52c | 566.93$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.53 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Level UP | 51c | 524.24$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.87 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Level UP | 44c | 505.06$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.31 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a76…53debacked Team Lynx | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Team Lynx | 33c | 500$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ac…1694backed Team Lynx | 33c | 499.03$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…7579backed Level UP | 73c | 478.28$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Level UP | 51c | 468.81$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.22 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Team Lynx | 33c | 453.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.57 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…1d31backed Level UP | 58c | 450.04$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.94 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Lynx | 53c | 432.27$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Team Lynx | 27c | 430$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Level UP | 54c | 414$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.98 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Level UP | 38c | 402.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.83 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked Level UP | 39c | 387.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.2 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Lynx | 60c | 333.51$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.77 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Level UP | 39c | 330$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.3 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Team Lynx | 49c | 320$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 268 | 48.9%131 W · 137 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…156fbacked Level UP | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Team Lynx | 30c | 280$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…3128backed Level UP | 76c | 262.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Level UP | 56c | 252.24$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Level UP | 55c | 228.3$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Level UP | 61c | 226.65$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…9c0dbacked Team Lynx | 66c | 223.27$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…ebdcbacked Level UP | 45c | 209.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Team Lynx | 60c | 208.14$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.9 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Lynx | 48c | 206.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team Lynx | 30c | 204.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Lynx | 42c | 197.21$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Level UP | 46c | 197.12$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.17 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Lynx | 24c | 196.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Level UP | 55c | 191.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.44 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Lynx | 36c | 185.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Level UP | 73c | 184.13$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked Level UP | 47c | 169.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Lynx | 51c | 162.83$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Level UP | 54c | 158.04$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Level UP | 55c | 154.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Level UP | 44c | 152.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…6c9dbacked Team Lynx | 45c | 151.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Level UP | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Level UP | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Level UP | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Lynx | 33c | 149.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Level UP | 74c | 143$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Lynx | 67c | 124.82$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…1517backed Team Lynx | 16c | 123.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7628…eb57backed Team Lynx | 12c | 123.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Level UP | 52c | 122.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Level UP | 55c | 118.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Lynx | 35c | 116.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Level UP | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Team Lynx | 30c | 109.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Level UP | 63c | 108.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Team Lynx | 43c | 108.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Lynx | 74c | 106.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Level UP | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Lynx | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Team Lynx | 33c | 99.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Level UP | 74c | 98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Level UP | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Team Lynx | 29c | 91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Level UP | 73c | 89.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc847…3b02backed Team Lynx | 61c | 87.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Team Lynx | 27c | 86.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8571…7d6cbacked Team Lynx | 40c | 85.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Team Lynx | 28c | 84.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2748…d345backed Team Lynx | 14c | 80.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Level UP | 48c | 79.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Lynx | 48c | 78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Level UP | 47c | 76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Level UP | 72c | 74.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…89ebbacked Team Lynx | 62c | 74.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…6d22backed Level UP | 73c | 73.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerLevel UP won
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.