Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Level UP vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca87f6c1bc0a8dcaab43d7a3e7bbf7edeca00ae68e35f674fe70aebdc05db3d2

Rebuilt 34 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Team Lynxof Level UP, Team Lynx
Resolved: Aug 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,683 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Lynx	57c	2,845$1,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,233.52	508	50.8%258 W · 250 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked Level UP	30c	2,038$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.66	327	56.9%186 W · 141 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Level UP	39c	2,002$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$776.78	242	46.7%113 W · 129 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Level UP	44c	1,273$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.72	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b1f…d6d5backed Level UP	40c	1,260$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	79	55.7%44 W · 35 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebb9…1d15backed Team Lynx	43c	1,165$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$664.82	95	35.8%34 W · 61 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Lynx	63c	1,059$663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.01	892	38.1%340 W · 552 L	-42.7wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Level UP	36c	700$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	799	59.4%475 W · 324 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team Lynx	71c	594.47$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.84	310	52.6%163 W · 147 L	+15.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9ac…1694backed Level UP	71c	507.67$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.79	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Level UP	38c	499.99$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.19	324	45.1%146 W · 178 L	+14.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Lynx	46c	438.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.83	1,137	42.3%481 W · 656 L	-27.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Lynx	76c	424$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.15	359	60.4%217 W · 142 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Level UP	55c	410.3$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.67	953	42.2%402 W · 551 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d59…8b19backed Team Lynx	77c	393.28$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.88	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Team Lynx	53c	364.37$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.35	79	35.4%28 W · 51 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x090e…1cbcbacked Team Lynx	62c	282.44$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.21	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a013backed Team Lynx	72c	277.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.33	63	42.9%27 W · 36 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Team Lynx	70c	272.1$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.63	377	45.9%173 W · 204 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2965…89ebbacked Team Lynx	72c	259.67$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.49	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Lynx	64c	255.99$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.02	1,120	36.1%404 W · 716 L	-39.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa24a…8382backed Team Lynx	68c	245$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.99	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-40%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x46e4…c6dabacked Level UP	42c	237.84$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.89	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Level UP	48c	224.48$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.85	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Lynx	63c	203.57$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.14	1,458	48.5%707 W · 751 L	+27.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Team Lynx	80c	186.35$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.31	406	44.6%181 W · 225 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Lynx	60c	165.97$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.84	1,702	41.2%701 W · 1,001 L	-44.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked Team Lynx	65c	155.9$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.64	269	58.7%158 W · 111 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Lynx	65c	150$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	700	52.3%366 W · 334 L	+47.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3214…cfcbbacked Level UP	63c	144.98$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.09	163	61.3%100 W · 63 L	+8.3wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed Level UP	63c	143.97$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	372	53%197 W · 175 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed Level UP	40c	135.23$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.09	606	60.7%368 W · 238 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Team Lynx	70c	131$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.3	75	46.7%35 W · 40 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Level UP	45c	126$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.7	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Level UP	41c	120.76$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.31	899	38%342 W · 557 L	-45.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Level UP	40c	117$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.62	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4d8…c3f8backed Team Lynx	71c	114.93$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	80	35%28 W · 52 L	-8.6wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Lynx	70c	112.64$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.42	426	39.4%168 W · 258 L	-39.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Level UP	40c	112.39$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.3	194	40.7%79 W · 115 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Lynx	47c	107.06$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.06	595	56.6%337 W · 258 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Lynx	35c	105.58$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.63	614	49.5%304 W · 310 L	+9.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf795…5e34backed Level UP	16c	105$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	37	27%10 W · 27 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Level UP	10c	103.7$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.33	416	32.7%136 W · 280 L	-37.8wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a08…ebdcbacked Level UP	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	86	39.5%34 W · 52 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabef…5c2ebacked Team Lynx	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	93	44.1%41 W · 52 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Level UP	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	675	55%371 W · 304 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ace…3038backed Team Lynx	75c	80.16$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.16	235	62.1%146 W · 89 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x422d…7e39backed Team Lynx	38c	73.68$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.68	124	52.4%65 W · 59 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde0f…a4e7backed Team Lynx	75c	50.55$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.64	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Team Lynx	71c	45.07$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.07	195	47.7%93 W · 102 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Level UP	47c	44.61$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.88	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe07d…4ee1backed Level UP	50c	41$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.51	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28f5…2035backed Level UP	47c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	332	65.4%217 W · 115 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Lynx	69c	40$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	813	45.1%367 W · 446 L	-26.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Team Lynx	55c	33.17$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.99	535	38.5%206 W · 329 L	-26.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Level UP	47c	33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.51	691	32.6%225 W · 466 L	-26.8wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f1…f02dbacked Level UP	50c	28.46$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.29	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Team Lynx	67c	21.62$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.07	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Level UP	58c	17.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	194	49%95 W · 99 L	+11.8wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Level UP vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: Level UP vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship PlayoffsLevel UP won
Dota 2: Level UP vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerLevel UP won
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Level UP vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event