MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd39440ce2f5ff0bb4bb9c6266af0d07e3d7bc89c9f4fe644bfd25c7c900ac886
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Phillies | 55c | 20,307$11,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,138.22 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Guardians | 45c | 14,645$6,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,590.41 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Guardians | 43c | 14,585$6,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,262.53 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Phillies | 74c | 12,596$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.14 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Phillies | 55c | 10,000$5,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,490.81 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Phillies | 52c | 7,345$3,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525.6 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Guardians | 45c | 5,520$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 35c | 5,240$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.85 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Phillies | 55c | 5,100$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 25c | 2,940$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.81 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians | 41c | 2,832$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.78 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Guardians | 33c | 2,149$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Guardians | 45c | 1,722$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.83 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 43c | 1,660$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.8 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…256dbacked Guardians | 45c | 1,525$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…ea54backed Guardians | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Guardians | 45c | 1,150$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Guardians | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…94cbbacked Guardians | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Guardians | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 32c | 917.58$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.99 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Guardians | 45c | 855.91$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.16 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 34c | 820.07$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.03 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Guardians | 25c | 799.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 40c | 709.47$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Guardians | 45c | 646.88$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.09 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Guardians | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Phillies | 71c | 564.15$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Guardians | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Phillies | 55c | 450.81$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Guardians | 34c | 443$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.67 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 54c | 420.37$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.28 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 55c | 409.77$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Phillies | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Guardians | 16c | 367.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Guardians | 7c | 290.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Guardians | 45c | 264$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Guardians | 44c | 262.3$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Guardians | 23c | 245$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Phillies | 66c | 243.69$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Guardians | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Guardians | 46c | 217.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.26 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Guardians | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Phillies | 55c | 183.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Phillies | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 29c | 180$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2012…128fbacked Phillies | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Guardians | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed Phillies | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Phillies | 69c | 142.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Phillies | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Guardians | 42c | 125.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…b172backed Guardians | 33c | 120.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…d298backed Guardians | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Guardians | 45c | 90.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…8444backed Phillies | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Guardians | 45c | 79.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Guardians | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Guardians | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Guardians | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Guardians | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Guardians | 45c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Guardians | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Guardians | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Guardians | 45c | 47.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Guardians | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Guardians | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1c…7245backed Phillies | 55c | 38.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Phillies | 71c | 37.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Phillies | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Phillies | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efc…ee80backed Phillies | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…3c46backed Guardians | 47c | 30.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Phillies | 55c | 30.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Guardians | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Phillies | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Guardians | 45c | 26.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…d5d7backed Phillies | 80c | 25.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Guardians | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…ac06backed Guardians | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.