TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham win on 2024-12-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,266
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,957

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,266 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked No62c100,000$62,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,00010650%53 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Yes38c97,435$37,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,417.86253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Yes67c13,348$9,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,343.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No43c7,396$3,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,196.9511657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Yes39c4,554$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,764.659037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No16c3,464$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.3537841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19a…2f33backed No65c2,856$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.41723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-62.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Yes30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4004560%27 W · 18 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+97.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes41c1,885$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.3940254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb046…a7dcbacked Yes66c1,657$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.251560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes79c1,512$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.6869772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2e44…79c9backed Yes47c1,475$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.951118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No60c1,335$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.799238%35 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No62c1,168$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72039561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ed6…da8abacked No47c1,059$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdd9…ad08backed No63c1,030$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.97580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes42c1,000$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57514854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Yes42c999.97$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b17…78fbbacked No60c956$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9478…63f5backed No58c865.68$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.095959.3%35 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No56c767.77$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.638362.7%52 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes42c669.79$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.483946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a71…8b60backed Yes44c617.86$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.544438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked No64c420$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.83748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad1…b2f4backed Yes44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ec…3f30backed No57c398.25$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2271127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a2a…9146backed Yes43c348$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.361266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…c906backed No58c345.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1cd…185cbacked Yes44c344.47$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd7…e63dbacked Yes61c326.23$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7801…422bbacked No46c312.79$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.392035%7 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-43.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4af1…ef00backed Yes35c300.97$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.412846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc815…c262backed Yes37c277.62$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508633.7%29 W · 57 L-14.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed No57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.53751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14540640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No26c249.94$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.529643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked No46c218.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.886147.5%29 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f92…b5f8backed No48c209.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes41c204.45$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7540135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No49c204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked No43c200.18$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.082138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes42c200.07$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dc…9661backed Yes37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdb…08c7backed Yes50c200$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x843a…8070backed Yes40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes57c195.98$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6379650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x939c…472cbacked No65c193.85$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed No60c181.1$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.666959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed No42c174.19$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.667737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1ef…75f2backed Yes40c155$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Yes38c154.84$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ba8…0db7backed No62c154.84$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9650%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes56c150$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.534251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed No56c136.55$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8315554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No16c132.37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0137652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6b4…b468backed Yes43c118$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.26955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b1…c9b8backed Yes45c111.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb7…ec62backed No57c107.02$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed No56c106.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.825453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a8…6b00backed Yes63c103.32$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.322347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed No54c101.28$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcfc5…817ebacked No56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6753…7340backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5825339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+301.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef7…b0debacked Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568752.9%46 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x710c…ee60backed No56c99.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.992128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.9wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-58.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc2f1…f229backed No58c94.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557949.4%39 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdec2…ab4abacked No57c91.58$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x647a…eef5backed Yes44c91.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b0b…b113backed Yes44c90.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cc5…a830backed No57c88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce86…f868backed No58c86.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.059334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed No58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507256.9%41 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf814…9951backed Yes42c86.2$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Yes61c85.14$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.284757.4%27 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacf2…2929backed No65c84.62$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No59c74.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2414450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d19…7cafbacked Yes41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes41c72.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9315636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca03…e878backed Yes43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.771353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69d6…f235backed Yes40c66.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+81.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fff…a627backed Yes44c61.27$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x836e…f036backed No59c56.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.31650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1292…cd40backed Yes45c56.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.06650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+43.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc4…0705backed No46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.057041.4%29 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No56c54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2446660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ba1…74f4backed No58c52.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x894a…9a8dbacked Yes41c51.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.053100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+99.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb381…e9b3backed No57c51.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed No58c50.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.016944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbda7…fc55backed Yes54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+60.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48b7…63f1backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.783423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b6…61c0backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…d647backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.