TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton win on 2024-12-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,850
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,494

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,850 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed No64c5,719$3,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.6611657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes37c3,759$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3917825.6%20 W · 58 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes32c3,500$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12068026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95cd…32d0backed No68c3,028$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.075554.5%30 W · 25 L+10.6wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+60.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes31c2,266$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.5328443.7%124 W · 160 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed No68c2,234$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.349037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked No70c2,137$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.097651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19a…2f33backed Yes37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7401723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-62.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No67c1,993$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.358362.7%52 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed No68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4805453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Yes32c937.63$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.994637%17 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No68c746.89$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23917153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes30c666.98$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.693946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No66c621.82$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.5140254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.26per pick48cpaid+61%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x091a…09f1backed No69c456.36$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.47771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac9…7d06backed Yes20c426.07$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.141513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-67.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Yes30c423.47$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1283842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb046…a7dcbacked No71c399.61$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.931560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad1…b2f4backed Yes32c399.58$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.37933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bf6…63a7backed Yes34c363.87$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49bd…d5dbbacked Yes32c358.8$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.82616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-65.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes23c345$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7515554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes14c313.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5237841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008633.7%29 W · 57 L-14.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0585…cfccbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c49…3769backed Yes32c306.53$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9640640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes34c294$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9620447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Yes35c289.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes19c277.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x843a…8070backed Yes30c269.45$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.844537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes35c228.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes32c207.95$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7840135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No69c202.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9318260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6242755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes14c200$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+301.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No67c171.75$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes28c161.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.918232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes34c157.84$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6732736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4af1…ef00backed No63c150.3$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.612846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.529653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc88f…987abacked No65c139$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.462748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87f4…2fafbacked Yes31c134.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6730%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015025.3%38 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6af8…bac0backed Yes19c120$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes32c109.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa610…0461backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf59…bb65backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed No70c99.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.934663%29 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda6b…8fc7backed Yes34c97.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c6…2d9ebacked No67c97.04$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca03…e878backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes14c84.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8221353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce71…54c9backed Yes18c79.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.33425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed No66c74.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.292560%15 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256051.7%31 W · 29 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49a7…2261backed No70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2877…2f89backed Yes35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x501a…d46dbacked Yes34c71.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.281926.3%5 W · 14 L-5.0wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-49.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255242.3%22 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No68c68.67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9746660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe480…a9a4backed Yes35c65.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.991553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4529…1c82backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddfa…4678backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa78e…9ba9backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd5…8e89backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes38c58.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.194742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ea4…e097backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf811…c162backed Yes23c53.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3370%0 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe534…bfafbacked Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172035%7 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2525…b919backed No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x602c…7da0backed No67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.786159%36 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b6…61c0backed No68c44.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.441361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156637.9%25 W · 41 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95c8…9143backed Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c54…3565backed Yes31c42.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b6…1528backed No70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Yes36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154831.3%15 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae5d…3553backed Yes32c41.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.141010%1 W · 9 L-4.5wins-0.45per pick55cpaid-80%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x78e2…3f43backed Yes34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcde3…1ae6backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x365e…ec69backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe563…398bbacked No69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.741181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef04…88c3backed No67c19.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3161…52dbbacked No68c18.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.882286.4%19 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick75cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x919f…05c5backed No70c16.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.