Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham vs. Brighton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaa6e3b1b787dc1d8ac563ce3c2ad9286bd59f239472abcbd4f808b44ac210f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 50c | 10,986$5,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,474.9 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Yes | 61c | 8,649$5,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,313.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Yes | 27c | 2,422$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.09 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 73c | 1,038$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.14 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Yes | 26c | 1,003$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.77 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 74c | 999.97$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked No | 74c | 918.92$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.92 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 75c | 505.06$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Yes | 28c | 359.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…3cb2backed No | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 14c | 271.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed Yes | 26c | 251.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…7d06backed Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 50c | 250$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked No | 50c | 250$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0d…df7abacked No | 74c | 227.38$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…2fafbacked Yes | 27c | 224.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…836dbacked Yes | 55c | 185.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 26c | 171.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 72c | 113.01$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…e878backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 27c | 110.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…2f89backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes | 43c | 104.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +301.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…7359backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 26c | 97.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 26c | 95.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…b5d5backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…ad2fbacked No | 74c | 74.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe119…dce0backed Yes | 28c | 71.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed No | 74c | 71.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…f72ebacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39bd…1027backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed No | 73c | 55.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 72c | 50.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…e210backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0c…b45ebacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 28c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca14…6b9bbacked Yes | 43c | 42.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 38c | 40.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…5d8ebacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1afb…e0c0backed No | 75c | 35.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57df…d1dcbacked No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -5.3wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…7c10backed No | 75c | 26.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb894…0ffcbacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…3e33backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f59…d367backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365e…ec69backed Yes | 69c | 17.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…52dbbacked No | 74c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 75cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…0e7cbacked No | 75c | 16.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0e…ea18backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f0…da2bbacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…cf54backed No | 75c | 14.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…b014backed No | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…13afbacked No | 75c | 14.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham vs. Brighton end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2024-12-05?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2024-12-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.