NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79983713e8ae8725714a03131573b497f4709630f7d5aff43524436598730e9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Timberwolves, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Timberwolves | 1c | 31,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.39 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Warriors | 51c | 20,705$10,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,081.69 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Timberwolves | 37c | 12,226$4,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,558.81 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Timberwolves | 48c | 10,000$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 3c | 9,953$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.23 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe319…8f82backed Timberwolves | 52c | 8,806$4,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,578.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebe…5e03backed Warriors | 48c | 8,756$4,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,553.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 7,081$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588.01 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors | 55c | 6,274$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.65 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Timberwolves | 49c | 5,973$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.64 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Timberwolves | 2c | 5,382$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 46c | 4,719$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.18 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Timberwolves | 49c | 4,083$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.57 | 473 | 57.9%274 W · 199 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Timberwolves | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.76 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Warriors | 46c | 2,700$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,377$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.82 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85de…87e5backed Timberwolves | 24c | 2,279$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.24 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Warriors | 63c | 2,277$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.99 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Warriors | 32c | 2,259$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.45 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Warriors | 54c | 2,245$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…7cd3backed Warriors | 43c | 2,245$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.49 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…7790backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,165$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 56c | 2,050$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.99 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed Warriors | 51c | 2,048$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.75 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.88 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Timberwolves | 71c | 1,849$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.66 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Warriors | 34c | 1,782$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.36 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Warriors | 57c | 1,757$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.55 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,676$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.71 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…d8c7backed Timberwolves | 66c | 1,608$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.39 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 1,570$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.12 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Warriors | 34c | 1,535$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.99 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Warriors | 46c | 1,410$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.97 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…b9adbacked Warriors | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Timberwolves | 31c | 1,283$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.02 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Warriors | 43c | 1,105$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.96 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…779abacked Timberwolves | 41c | 1,050$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Timberwolves | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Warriors | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Timberwolves | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.3 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Timberwolves | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Warriors | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 999.91$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.96 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Timberwolves | 38c | 893.37$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…4cf5backed Warriors | 51c | 882.44$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.75 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Timberwolves | 48c | 879.16$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Warriors | 48c | 870.13$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.13 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Warriors | 61c | 799.99$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.57 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 36c | 748.34$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.67 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Warriors | 36c | 737$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.68 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 3c | 730$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Timberwolves | 51c | 668.43$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 50c | 590.12$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.06 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 567.88$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Warriors | 76c | 559.83$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.36 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5b47backed Warriors | 36c | 548.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.86 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 541.65$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Warriors | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Warriors | 50c | 478$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Warriors | 44c | 458.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.36 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ed…d8b1backed Timberwolves | 27c | 451.42$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.45 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…c5f5backed Warriors | 53c | 448.89$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…b299backed Timberwolves | 56c | 444.54$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Timberwolves | 65c | 430.34$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Warriors | 37c | 430$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Timberwolves | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…f21ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56dd…5d25backed Warriors | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Timberwolves | 56c | 392.23$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a6…5ceebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 390.2$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9cf8backed Warriors | 39c | 368$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.32 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8580…4612backed Timberwolves | 59c | 365.42$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.65 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed Timberwolves | 62c | 362.9$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Warriors | 49c | 304.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.77 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…44c6backed Timberwolves | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Warriors | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Timberwolves | 5c | 297$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ded…5d66backed Timberwolves | 45c | 295.09$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.22 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…6a65backed Timberwolves | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed Timberwolves | 51c | 283.88$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.78 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Warriors | 53c | 269.55$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.69 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…9bb7backed Warriors | 34c | 260.02$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Warriors | 51c | 255$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.16 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc0…4da8backed Timberwolves | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Warriors | 42c | 247.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.28 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Timberwolves | 49c | 234.57$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…4ae4backed Timberwolves | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Warriors | 52c | 225$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Warriors | 46c | 217.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Warriors | 53c | 216.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…7319backed Timberwolves | 70c | 215.87$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.86 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Timberwolves | 47c | 212.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.