NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c4ae0e9666bfc111df54b97f6ab1bc72852e672324350058deb66b4eb317c7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Grizzlies, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $483,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $505,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $483,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Grizzlies | 2c | 89,411$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.72 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Lakers | 50c | 26,123$13,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,089.87 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Grizzlies | 16c | 23,336$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.23 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Grizzlies | 56c | 18,000$10,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,080 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Grizzlies | 9c | 15,313$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.19 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers | 57c | 14,277$8,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,108.37 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 15c | 13,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Lakers | 45c | 12,455$5,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,901.51 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed Grizzlies | 62c | 10,008$6,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,204.73 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…3f02backed Lakers | 38c | 10,006$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,203.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 11c | 9,961$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.36 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Grizzlies | 4c | 9,328$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.85 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Grizzlies | 9c | 7,962$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lakers | 46c | 7,671$3,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,148.88 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Grizzlies | 51c | 7,284$3,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Grizzlies | 18c | 7,095$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.57 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…4d92backed Grizzlies | 65c | 6,539$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 6,492$4,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,219.9 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…3800backed Lakers | 39c | 6,394$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Grizzlies | 57c | 5,841$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 74c | 4,462$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.18 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Grizzlies | 54c | 4,228$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.12 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…42a4backed Lakers | 70c | 4,175$2,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.34 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Grizzlies | 15c | 3,724$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.05 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Lakers | 66c | 3,394$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.11 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Grizzlies | 30c | 3,145$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.07 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Grizzlies | 25c | 2,757$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…389dbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 2,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…5726backed Grizzlies | 35c | 2,500$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Grizzlies | 36c | 2,433$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.78 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…1c68backed Grizzlies | 9c | 2,316$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lakers | 44c | 2,250$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Lakers | 55c | 2,214$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.68 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Grizzlies | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Grizzlies | 2c | 2,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Grizzlies | 57c | 1,936$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.13 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Lakers | 39c | 1,774$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.74 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Lakers | 78c | 1,685$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.99 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Grizzlies | 10c | 1,594$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lakers | 40c | 1,555$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.69 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5b47backed Grizzlies | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lakers | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.88 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Grizzlies | 56c | 1,466$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.06 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lakers | 61c | 1,225$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.47 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Grizzlies | 57c | 1,135$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.84 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…9f7ebacked Grizzlies | 57c | 1,109$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.89 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…5038backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,039$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.72 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Grizzlies | 6c | 1,030$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Lakers | 41c | 1,013$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.39 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Grizzlies | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Lakers | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Lakers | 37c | 999.91$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.94 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Grizzlies | 4c | 997.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…83bbbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 896.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Lakers | 42c | 869.54$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.54 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 849.99$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…5a51backed Grizzlies | 56c | 849.49$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Lakers | 55c | 836.14$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.51 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Grizzlies | 64c | 826.92$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.56 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Grizzlies | 3c | 814.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…9bdabacked Grizzlies | 36c | 800$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 793.32$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…74bbbacked Grizzlies | 19c | 771.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Lakers | 43c | 727.15$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.48 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Grizzlies | 14c | 725.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b31…e8ebbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 700$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Lakers | 34c | 689.4$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.53 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 654.09$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.45 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Grizzlies | 21c | 650$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…32b4backed Grizzlies | 29c | 599.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…6b68backed Grizzlies | 5c | 555.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccfb…376ebacked Lakers | 37c | 552.41$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 549.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b2…1e1cbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 544.67$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…425cbacked Grizzlies | 38c | 521.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.44 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Grizzlies | 61c | 509.92$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.05 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Lakers | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.05 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Grizzlies | 60c | 500$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.33 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Lakers | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 37c | 484.8$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.43 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Lakers | 61c | 472.06$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.75 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Grizzlies | 54c | 450$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 449.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Grizzlies | 67c | 445.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Lakers | 61c | 407.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…388dbacked Lakers | 37c | 402$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.26 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Grizzlies | 10c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Grizzlies | 43c | 388.44$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Grizzlies | 62c | 387.98$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.55 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Grizzlies | 61c | 360.47$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.09 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Grizzlies | 13c | 346.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Lakers | 38c | 346.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.08 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…0c1abacked Grizzlies | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab7…d178backed Lakers | 43c | 333.75$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Lakers | 45c | 331.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.85 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Grizzlies | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…e3dcbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 314.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.