NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x829a226ba37ac9f4144d482656aecf989102d7d0f220eaed89a06d1545ae3b7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Suns, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 406 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16d6…c556backed Suns | 1c | 8,738$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…f310backed Suns | 3c | 6,743$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Suns | 36c | 6,456$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.96 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Suns | 10c | 6,022$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.2 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Heat | 65c | 5,555$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.25 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Heat | 64c | 4,602$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.72 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns | 33c | 3,599$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.61 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Suns | 1c | 3,207$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 33c | 2,759$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.02 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…9fcebacked Heat | 66c | 2,562$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Heat | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.96 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 17c | 2,244$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.04 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Heat | 67c | 2,164$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.85 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Heat | 60c | 2,102$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.99 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Heat | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bc…51fdbacked Suns | 34c | 1,985$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Suns | 33c | 1,929$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.35 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Heat | 69c | 1,537$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.32 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 66c | 1,533$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.4 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Suns | 33c | 1,500$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.41 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…3982backed Suns | 34c | 1,487$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.71 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…5a68backed Heat | 67c | 1,245$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.78 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4400…65bbbacked Suns | 34c | 1,244$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Suns | 33c | 1,241$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.62 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Suns | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…388dbacked Heat | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…a0fdbacked Heat | 66c | 1,124$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Suns | 34c | 1,100$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.97 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Suns | 17c | 1,069$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.56 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Suns | 38c | 1,009$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.84 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Suns | 42c | 1,007$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.44 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Suns | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Suns | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Suns | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Heat | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Suns | 35c | 716.19$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Heat | 51c | 711.54$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.65 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Heat | 68c | 704.5$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.92 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Heat | 55c | 689.99$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.73 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Suns | 37c | 678.69$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.16 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Suns | 34c | 665.06$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.72 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Suns | 24c | 639.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.46 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…4da9backed Heat | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Heat | 52c | 582.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.45 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…c63fbacked Suns | 34c | 577$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…4cf5backed Heat | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Suns | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Heat | 66c | 432.33$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Heat | 66c | 427$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 55c | 421.89$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.04 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Suns | 10c | 416.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Heat | 67c | 406.37$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…c273backed Heat | 66c | 399.97$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…e3f4backed Suns | 33c | 399.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfb…48a2backed Heat | 66c | 387$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns | 9c | 375.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Suns | 33c | 344.24$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Heat | 66c | 306.81$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Heat | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Suns | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d2…49cebacked Suns | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Suns | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc8…951abacked Heat | 67c | 291.72$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…90d7backed Heat | 69c | 288.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.01 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Suns | 22c | 270$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a6…3d1dbacked Suns | 35c | 257.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3a…1608backed Suns | 35c | 257.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Heat | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Suns | 40c | 247.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Heat | 67c | 238.76$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Suns | 39c | 212.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Suns | 16c | 206.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 66c | 205$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Suns | 15c | 201.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…1a7cbacked Suns | 34c | 200.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…57f5backed Heat | 67c | 200.75$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…a897backed Suns | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Heat | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bc…8946backed Heat | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Suns | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Suns | 34c | 194.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Heat | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Suns | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Suns | 32c | 178.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Suns | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…6b77backed Suns | 9c | 168.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Suns | 47c | 168.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d5…41aebacked Heat | 66c | 155$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f6…cf27backed Heat | 66c | 152.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…6c06backed Heat | 66c | 152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Suns | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Heat | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39bd…1027backed Suns | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f13…009dbacked Suns | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Suns | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c1…ecbcbacked Suns | 50c | 128$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cef…98e1backed Heat | 50c | 128$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…7daebacked Suns | 50c | 126$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238a…8d7bbacked Heat | 50c | 126$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Suns | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.