MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51503297fb24c1ae2932faac252bb5e8a0c098c08dd45ae0ab1a19735a917023
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Twins, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $382,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $416,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Twins | 37c | 144,867$53,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,518.76 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Dodgers | 63c | 87,654$55,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,222.02 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 65c | 27,477$17,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,741.35 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa26a…6d6ebacked Dodgers | 38c | 24,939$9,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,562.51 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Dodgers | 64c | 24,610$15,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,750.27 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 34c | 20,236$6,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,398.58 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Dodgers | 9c | 15,924$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Dodgers | 67c | 15,854$10,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,563.68 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dodgers | 64c | 12,890$8,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,198.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 35c | 12,398$4,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,081.63 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Dodgers | 65c | 11,759$7,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,608.21 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Dodgers | 36c | 11,258$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 58c | 8,371$4,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.54 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Dodgers | 10c | 7,995$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.19 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Dodgers | 70c | 7,402$5,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,209.31 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 63c | 5,859$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.64 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 76c | 5,742$4,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.05 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Dodgers | 1c | 5,301$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Dodgers | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Dodgers | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Twins | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.18 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Dodgers | 32c | 2,577$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.79 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Dodgers | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Twins | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Dodgers | 1c | 2,335$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 34c | 2,268$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.54 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Twins | 59c | 1,721$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.72 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Dodgers | 32c | 1,600$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.99 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Dodgers | 67c | 1,500$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.57 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Twins | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.76 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Dodgers | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Twins | 75c | 1,474$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 35c | 1,312$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.49 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Dodgers | 19c | 1,223$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.2 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…bb35backed Twins | 33c | 1,100$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Dodgers | 67c | 1,075$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Dodgers | 3c | 1,046$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…ede5backed Dodgers | 46c | 1,043$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.43 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Twins | 69c | 1,005$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.02 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Twins | 33c | 999.95$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.97 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…6afdbacked Dodgers | 36c | 961.86$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Dodgers | 9c | 920.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Dodgers | 20c | 910$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.48 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d4…ba68backed Dodgers | 16c | 856.84$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.85 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Dodgers | 64c | 780$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…41a4backed Twins | 36c | 703.38$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.16 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Dodgers | 3c | 700$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Dodgers | 66c | 671.21$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Dodgers | 26c | 627.43$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.14 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x105d…786abacked Dodgers | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Dodgers | 65c | 599.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Twins | 35c | 554.53$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.44 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Twins | 33c | 551$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.17 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78c4…a801backed Dodgers | 3c | 550$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Dodgers | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Dodgers | 16c | 500$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…77f1backed Dodgers | 9c | 500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 77c | 499.51$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.03 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Dodgers | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Twins | 67c | 431.38$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.28 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Dodgers | 63c | 411.15$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.66 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers | 10c | 409.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 54c | 408.47$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.37 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…30ccbacked Dodgers | 67c | 392$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Dodgers | 6c | 354.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Twins | 37c | 339.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.27 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Dodgers | 30c | 336.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Twins | 35c | 328.57$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.57 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Dodgers | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Dodgers | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Twins | 33c | 302.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Twins | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Twins | 33c | 295.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.26 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Dodgers | 67c | 295$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.65 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Twins | 62c | 294.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Twins | 33c | 293.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.32 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Dodgers | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Twins | 35c | 250$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…5781backed Dodgers | 67c | 248.03$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.18 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…3d98backed Dodgers | 41c | 241.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 33c | 219.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.6 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Dodgers | 64c | 216.43$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.52 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Twins | 66c | 213.24$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 64c | 206.43$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Dodgers | 67c | 203$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.01 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Dodgers | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Dodgers | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…fcc2backed Dodgers | 10c | 192.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Twins | 39c | 178.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Twins | 40c | 170$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Twins | 67c | 168.86$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Twins | 36c | 167.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…df92backed Dodgers | 65c | 160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Twins | 65c | 154.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…dfd1backed Dodgers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Dodgers | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.