College Football · resolved market
Penn State vs. Oregon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe628547084ad7d4e60082df872e3502726d26e802dc4ef5741efab185bffd643
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oregonof Penn State, Oregon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52f6…3aedbacked Penn State | 32c | 75,237$23,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,976.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Oregon | 61c | 52,157$31,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,368.84 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Oregon | 61c | 25,182$15,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,766.38 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Penn State | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Penn State | 39c | 18,130$7,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,068.89 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Penn State | 39c | 14,079$5,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,485.57 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Penn State | 9c | 9,420$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.31 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Penn State | 11c | 7,722$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.76 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Penn State | 36c | 5,976$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.05 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…1262backed Oregon | 74c | 5,361$3,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.84 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Penn State | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8625…90afbacked Oregon | 75c | 4,023$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Penn State | 39c | 3,846$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Oregon | 69c | 3,406$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…c9cdbacked Oregon | 63c | 3,147$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Oregon | 61c | 2,729$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed Penn State | 39c | 2,584$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Oregon | 73c | 2,210$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.42 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Penn State | 41c | 2,069$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.29 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Oregon | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Oregon | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Penn State | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Penn State | 5c | 1,893$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Oregon | 62c | 1,783$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.36 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Penn State | 26c | 1,748$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.57 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Oregon | 79c | 1,643$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.48 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Oregon | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.54 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Oregon | 77c | 1,415$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.63 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Penn State | 38c | 1,384$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.04 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Oregon | 76c | 1,309$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…36b3backed Penn State | 38c | 1,274$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3ab2backed Oregon | 62c | 1,230$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Oregon | 73c | 1,196$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.85 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Penn State | 24c | 1,190$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Penn State | 38c | 1,171$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.97 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb8…b625backed Penn State | 17c | 1,132$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Oregon | 61c | 1,100$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…f525backed Oregon | 64c | 1,092$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Penn State | 8c | 1,057$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Oregon | 75c | 1,051$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Penn State | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Penn State | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Penn State | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…4a1fbacked Oregon | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Penn State | 33c | 1,000$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Penn State | 13c | 993.17$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.83 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe442…e5fcbacked Oregon | 68c | 942.19$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Penn State | 6c | 937.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Oregon | 67c | 878.17$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.05 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Oregon | 65c | 867.65$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.68 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…eeaabacked Penn State | 11c | 857.09$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Oregon | 63c | 806.35$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Oregon | 78c | 781.42$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.27 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…5124backed Penn State | 31c | 770.76$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…375ebacked Oregon | 62c | 761.6$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…5238backed Oregon | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Penn State | 39c | 742.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.76 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Oregon | 76c | 716.31$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.19 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Penn State | 21c | 599.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Penn State | 25c | 599.72$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.89 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Penn State | 26c | 597.72$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.41 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec5…9869backed Oregon | 76c | 569.92$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ce…2b32backed Penn State | 30c | 550.34$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Penn State | 35c | 509.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.7 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Penn State | 20c | 501.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Oregon | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Penn State | 40c | 500$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Oregon | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…58f0backed Oregon | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Penn State | 41c | 493.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e6…15debacked Oregon | 62c | 485.58$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55f4…959cbacked Oregon | 64c | 453.54$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.67 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…a0fdbacked Oregon | 62c | 451.76$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Penn State | 41c | 445.82$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.57 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…e0b6backed Oregon | 62c | 431.14$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…4da9backed Oregon | 62c | 396.31$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…aed7backed Oregon | 62c | 379.03$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.03 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Penn State | 40c | 378.87$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Oregon | 63c | 362.64$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.8 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Oregon | 66c | 359.43$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.63 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…37a1backed Oregon | 62c | 348.06$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d6…b079backed Oregon | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…42f8backed Oregon | 62c | 321.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…22f4backed Oregon | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Oregon | 61c | 300$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98b9…c9c8backed Penn State | 40c | 268.28$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…5acabacked Penn State | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb386…4941backed Penn State | 29c | 258.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Penn State | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc0…4da8backed Oregon | 80c | 250.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Penn State | 37c | 247.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Penn State | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Oregon | 67c | 219.06$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.45 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oregon | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Penn State | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Oregon | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdb…08c7backed Oregon | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Penn State | 36c | 193.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Penn State | 38c | 179.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Penn State | 31c | 174.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.