NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb10028bf948944402afc4dfcba487f00488e6042bdaefd9511460c5d6b12dcc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Knicks, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 40c | 3,305$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mavericks | 44c | 2,554$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.65 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks | 60c | 1,928$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.04 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,212$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.85 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,158$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Knicks | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Knicks | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks | 63c | 751$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.13 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Knicks | 54c | 685$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.9 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks | 56c | 679$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.38 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Knicks | 52c | 642$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.1 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 33c | 576$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 41c | 515$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.85 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6690…d62abacked Mavericks | 45c | 455$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Knicks | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d2…d2dcbacked Knicks | 56c | 384.34$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Mavericks | 39c | 308$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.88 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…01e4backed Knicks | 56c | 304$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks | 37c | 204$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.97 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…8b8bbacked Knicks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Mavericks | 38c | 177.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Knicks | 56c | 158.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…d6d7backed Knicks | 56c | 151$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Knicks | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Knicks | 61c | 133$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Mavericks | 28c | 119$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 43c | 118.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Mavericks | 31c | 113.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Knicks | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…7c76backed Knicks | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…5813backed Knicks | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae42…d021backed Knicks | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Mavericks | 40c | 89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Knicks | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Mavericks | 34c | 84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Knicks | 60c | 82.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Knicks | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Knicks | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mavericks | 43c | 76.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Knicks | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Knicks | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Knicks | 61c | 73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Knicks | 61c | 73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Knicks | 69c | 72.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -16.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Mavericks | 39c | 71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Knicks | 57c | 70.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Mavericks | 50c | 56.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Knicks | 55c | 55.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Mavericks | 46c | 53.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ee…eab7backed Knicks | 54c | 51.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Knicks | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fce…b35bbacked Knicks | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…8174backed Knicks | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Knicks | 62c | 45.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Knicks | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Knicks | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a2…0c1abacked Knicks | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Knicks | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cba…3e55backed Knicks | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Knicks | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Knicks | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Knicks | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…7701backed Knicks | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbd…6ffebacked Knicks | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Knicks | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Knicks | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Knicks | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…fd58backed Knicks | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Mavericks won
- Knicks vs. MavericksKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.